2020 General Election Predictions

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:40 am

Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:36 am
StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:30 am
Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:19 am


Negative polarization is driving record turn out on both sides. Trump is beating 2008 Obama.

The tendency towards rural/urban polarization over the past couple of decades is well documented.

This is a predictable result, not a 'statistically impossible' one.
No

the margins are impossible, regardless of negative polarization and the urban/rural polarization

Biden overperforming Obama and Clinton by over 100,000 votes in Minneapolis is not predictable at all, and it is in fact, super fishy af, especially when Trump didn't underperform in that county relative to 2016, and it's all Dem turnout, not Trump voters in the city flipping to Democrats
k

When this is over, you should sue the US for your lost gambling money.
I'd spend more on a lawsuit than the amount of money I lost, and I wouldn't win
*yip*

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:43 am

in order for these results to be accurate

you have simultaneously believe that

Biden is the most popular candidate who ever ran for president

and

Trump is the most unpopular incumbent who ever ran for president, despite drastically expanding his base and getting historical republican turnout

neither of which is even close to true

and this impossible combo fueled the statistically impossible turnout in democrat strongholds and swing counties in swing states, that was one sided and inexplicable

the numbers do not add up
*yip*

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Martin Hash
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Martin Hash » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:47 am

Everybody always knew what the mail-in ballots were all about. It was predicted to go to SCOTUS and it will. SCOTUS will decide. That's how modern democracy works.
Shamedia, Shamdemic, Shamucation, Shamlection, Shamconomy & Shamate Change

PartyOf5
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by PartyOf5 » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:48 am

Trump did better with minorities by multiple points from 2016. Another light that shines on the fraud of these big urban cities going so heavy for Biden.

PartyOf5
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by PartyOf5 » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:51 am

Martin Hash wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:47 am
Everybody always knew what the mail-in ballots were all about. It was predicted to go to SCOTUS and it will. SCOTUS will decide. That's how modern democracy works.
They will decide there is not enough evidence to throw out the tens of thousands of ballots needed to give Trump the win. Everyone will know the truth, but we will be left to live with the lie.

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Hanarchy Montanarchy
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Hanarchy Montanarchy » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:53 am

StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:43 am
in order for these results to be accurate

you have simultaneously believe that

Biden is the most popular candidate who ever ran for president

and

Trump is the most unpopular incumbent who ever ran for president, despite drastically expanding his base and getting historical republican turnout

neither of which is even close to true

and this impossible combo fueled the statistically impossible turnout in democrat strongholds and swing counties in swing states, that was one sided and inexplicable

the numbers do not add up
historical republican turnout - totally believable

historic democratic turn out - statistically impossible*

*10^-50
HAIL!

Her needs America so they won't just take his shit away like in some pussy non gun totting countries can happen.
-Hwen

PartyOf5
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Joined: Fri Dec 02, 2016 11:15 am

Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by PartyOf5 » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:54 am

My hope right now is that a red reckoning comes for Democrats in the 2022 midterms. The big cities will still be blue, but anything outside of those cheating hellholes needs to expel any Democrat currently in government at any level.

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Martin Hash
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Joined: Wed Jan 20, 2010 2:02 pm

Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Martin Hash » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:54 am

PartyOf5 wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:51 am
Martin Hash wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:47 am
Everybody always knew what the mail-in ballots were all about. It was predicted to go to SCOTUS and it will. SCOTUS will decide. That's how modern democracy works.
They will decide there is not enough evidence to throw out the tens of thousands of ballots needed to give Trump the win. Everyone will know the truth, but we will be left to live with the lie.
Depends how well Trump's lawyers & investigators do.
Shamedia, Shamdemic, Shamucation, Shamlection, Shamconomy & Shamate Change

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StCapps
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Location: Hamilton, Ontario

Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:55 am

PartyOf5 wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:51 am
Martin Hash wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:47 am
Everybody always knew what the mail-in ballots were all about. It was predicted to go to SCOTUS and it will. SCOTUS will decide. That's how modern democracy works.
They will decide there is not enough evidence to throw out the tens of thousands of ballots needed to give Trump the win. Everyone will know the truth, but we will be left to live with the lie.
Trumpy-Wan Kenobi Effect 9000


if Democrats want to turn Trump into the ultimate political martyr, by blantantly stealing an election, I say let them hang themselves

they will live to regret it, in short order
Last edited by StCapps on Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:56 am, edited 2 times in total.
*yip*

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StCapps
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Location: Hamilton, Ontario

Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:55 am

Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:53 am
StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:43 am
in order for these results to be accurate

you have simultaneously believe that

Biden is the most popular candidate who ever ran for president

and

Trump is the most unpopular incumbent who ever ran for president, despite drastically expanding his base and getting historical republican turnout

neither of which is even close to true

and this impossible combo fueled the statistically impossible turnout in democrat strongholds and swing counties in swing states, that was one sided and inexplicable

the numbers do not add up
historical republican turnout - totally believable

historic democratic turn out - statistically impossible*

*10^-50
whatever, troll who clearly cannot read basic english
*yip*