2020 General Election Predictions

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:48 am

Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:45 am
StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:36 am
Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:34 am
I guess TDS can explain just about anything - except Biden winning in traditionally Dem strongholds. :roll:
It's not the winning that is unbelievable

it's the margins and the statistically impossible turnout, which essentially claim Biden is the most popular Democrat of all-time in major urban centers in swing states, and it isn't even close

If you think that is believable, you're pretty gullible

I have TDS so my gullibility is pathological - but this is turning out to be a historically high turn out election for both candidates. Why are the margins in urban centers less reliable than the margin in rural counties?
because Biden's turnout was way higher, despite no Democrat even coming close to those levels of turnout, even ones that where infinitely more popular than Joe Biden, even ones that ran against Trump and did way better with minorities than Biden

the fact that Biden got so much more turnout than Trump, and historical turnout was particularly one sided, in super convenient areas, areas Dems were pretty much already maxing out, with superior candidates, is clearly just silly

Biden's numbers in swing state urban centers are clearly fishy af, Trump's numbers in rural areas are not
*yip*

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The Conservative
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by The Conservative » Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:53 am

StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:48 am
Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:45 am
StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:36 am
It's not the winning that is unbelievable

it's the margins and the statistically impossible turnout, which essentially claim Biden is the most popular Democrat of all-time in major urban centers in swing states, and it isn't even close

If you think that is believable, you're pretty gullible

I have TDS so my gullibility is pathological - but this is turning out to be a historically high turn out election for both candidates. Why are the margins in urban centers less reliable than the margin in rural counties?
because Biden's turnout was way higher, despite no Democrat even coming close to those levels of turnout, even ones that where infinitely more popular than Joe Biden, even ones that ran against Trump and did way better with minorities than Biden

the fact that Biden got so much more turnout than Trump, and historical turnout was particularly one sided, in super convenient areas, areas Dems were pretty much already maxing out, with superior candidates, is clearly just silly

Biden's numbers in swing state urban centers are clearly fishy af, Trump's numbers in rural areas are not
Were they higher than Obama’s?
#NotOneRedCent

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Hanarchy Montanarchy
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Hanarchy Montanarchy » Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:55 am

StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:48 am
Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:45 am
StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:36 am
It's not the winning that is unbelievable

it's the margins and the statistically impossible turnout, which essentially claim Biden is the most popular Democrat of all-time in major urban centers in swing states, and it isn't even close

If you think that is believable, you're pretty gullible

I have TDS so my gullibility is pathological - but this is turning out to be a historically high turn out election for both candidates. Why are the margins in urban centers less reliable than the margin in rural counties?
because Biden's turnout was way higher, despite no Democrat even coming close to those levels of turnout, even ones that where infinitely more popular than Joe Biden

the fact that Biden got so much more turnout than Trump, and historical turnout was particularly one sided, in super convenient areas, areas Dems were pretty much already maxing out, with superior candidates, is clearly just silly

Biden's numbers in swing state urban centers are clearly fishy af, Trump's numbers in rural areas are not
I am not seeing how you are claiming the high turnout was one sided when Trump is ahead of 2008 Obama.
HAIL!

Her needs America so they won't just take his shit away like in some pussy non gun totting countries can happen.
-Hwen

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:56 am

The Conservative wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:53 am
StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:48 am
Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:45 am



I have TDS so my gullibility is pathological - but this is turning out to be a historically high turn out election for both candidates. Why are the margins in urban centers less reliable than the margin in rural counties?
because Biden's turnout was way higher, despite no Democrat even coming close to those levels of turnout, even ones that where infinitely more popular than Joe Biden, even ones that ran against Trump and did way better with minorities than Biden

the fact that Biden got so much more turnout than Trump, and historical turnout was particularly one sided, in super convenient areas, areas Dems were pretty much already maxing out, with superior candidates, is clearly just silly

Biden's numbers in swing state urban centers are clearly fishy af, Trump's numbers in rural areas are not
Were they higher than Obama’s?
by hundreds of thousands of votes in some instances, like absolutely ridiculous outliers, five standards of deviation, statistically impossible, given voter registration and population growth

hol' up, I'll post the video that breaks it down
Last edited by StCapps on Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
*yip*

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Montegriffo
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Montegriffo » Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:56 am

Xenophon wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:46 am
Montegriffo wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:34 am
Xenophon wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:23 am

130,000 ballots being found at 4 AM, and 100% of them going to Joe Biden, is a "cock up"?

Ok dude.
When Trump has spent the last 6 months telling his supporters to vote in person and Biden has been telling people to vote by mail what did you expect to happen?
Yep, nothing to see here. How could I have been so blind to the truth!
Denial probably.
I'm sorry for your loss.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
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StCapps
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:00 am

here it is

Biden crushes Obama and Clinton's totals in urban centers and some suburbs that can help swing swing states, by ridiculous margins

yet in states that weren't in play, these irregularites do not show up

Obama and Clinton weren't running against an incumbent either, and they did better with minorities than Biden did

yet Biden still gets these numbers?

fishy af 9000, is an understatement
*yip*

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Montegriffo
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Montegriffo » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:02 am

StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:48 am
Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:45 am
StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:36 am
It's not the winning that is unbelievable

it's the margins and the statistically impossible turnout, which essentially claim Biden is the most popular Democrat of all-time in major urban centers in swing states, and it isn't even close

If you think that is believable, you're pretty gullible

I have TDS so my gullibility is pathological - but this is turning out to be a historically high turn out election for both candidates. Why are the margins in urban centers less reliable than the margin in rural counties?
because Biden's turnout was way higher, despite no Democrat even coming close to those levels of turnout, even ones that where infinitely more popular than Joe Biden, even ones that ran against Trump and did way better with minorities than Biden

the fact that Biden got so much more turnout than Trump, and historical turnout was particularly one sided, in super convenient areas, areas Dems were pretty much already maxing out, with superior candidates, is clearly just silly

Biden's numbers in swing state urban centers are clearly fishy af, Trump's numbers in rural areas are not
Anyone would think that Trump was the most unpopular President in recent history with a turnout like this.
Early voting and mail in ballots made it easier to vote too.
Wait till all votes are online, turnout will be even higher.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
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Xenophon
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Xenophon » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:09 am

Montegriffo wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:56 am
Xenophon wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:46 am
Montegriffo wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:34 am


When Trump has spent the last 6 months telling his supporters to vote in person and Biden has been telling people to vote by mail what did you expect to happen?
Yep, nothing to see here. How could I have been so blind to the truth!
Denial probably.
I'm sorry for your loss.
Image

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:09 am

Montegriffo wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:02 am
StCapps wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:48 am
Hanarchy Montanarchy wrote:
Fri Nov 06, 2020 7:45 am



I have TDS so my gullibility is pathological - but this is turning out to be a historically high turn out election for both candidates. Why are the margins in urban centers less reliable than the margin in rural counties?
because Biden's turnout was way higher, despite no Democrat even coming close to those levels of turnout, even ones that where infinitely more popular than Joe Biden, even ones that ran against Trump and did way better with minorities than Biden

the fact that Biden got so much more turnout than Trump, and historical turnout was particularly one sided, in super convenient areas, areas Dems were pretty much already maxing out, with superior candidates, is clearly just silly

Biden's numbers in swing state urban centers are clearly fishy af, Trump's numbers in rural areas are not
Anyone would think that Trump was the most unpopular President in recent history with a turnout like this.
Early voting and mail in ballots made it easier to vote too.
Wait till all votes are online, turnout will be even higher.
higher turnout was expected

the levels of turnout, in specific areas, are fishy af and not explained by Orange Man Bad, or mail-in voting

Trump did better, and Biden did WAY better, and 89% turnout is not a thing, that is five standards of deviation, statistically impossible
*yip*

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Fri Nov 06, 2020 8:12 am

The idea that Trump was less popular than HW Bush or Jimmy Carter, or Herbert Hoover

is also laughable

Trump is popular or he wouldn't have gotten anywhere near the votes he got

so that means that Biden won some of these states, because he is either the most popular candidate in American history in those states, by several orders of magnitude, or the Democrats cheated

it's harder to get votes counted through mail-in than in-person, mail-in cannabalizes votes, it does not boost turnout to ridiculous margins
*yip*