UK election
-
- Posts: 16879
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 10:59 am
- Location: Hamilton, Ontario
-
- Posts: 18718
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 7:14 am
Re: UK election
All he's done is promise not to put up candidates in seats where Tories won last time.
No one believed that he had 650 candidates ready to stand anyway.
Of course, it's the seats the Conservatives failed to win last time which are important if they are to win a majority in the house and if the BP is going to stand in those constituencies then they will split the vote and reduce their chance of winning them.
Also, coordinate implies that the Tories will reciprocate but this is not happening. Farage has been doing the rounds today bitching about how Boris is making zero concessions in favour of the BP.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
-
- Posts: 16879
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 10:59 am
- Location: Hamilton, Ontario
Re: UK election
Tories don't need a majority to get Brexit, they just need a coalition that constitutes a majority with the help of the Brexit party. If the Tory and Brexit seats add up to a majority, then Brexit is happening, and that is very likely to happen with Brexit stepping down in certain key ridings, probably would happen even without that happening, but it's basically a lock with it happening.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:08 amAll he's done is promise not to put up candidates in seats where Tories won last time.
No one believed that he had 650 candidates ready to stand anyway.
Of course, it's the seats the Conservatives failed to win last time which are important if they are to win a majority in the house and if the BP is going to stand in those constituencies then they will split the vote and reduce their chance of winning them.
Also, coordinate implies that the Tories will reciprocate but this is not happening. Farage has been doing the rounds today bitching about how Boris is making zero concessions in favour of the BP.
You mad bro?
*yip*
-
- Posts: 18718
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 7:14 am
Re: UK election
No, just better informed than you.
The pro-remain parties combined have a greater share of the vote than the pro-Brexit parties.
Labour, SNP and the Lib Dem's combined are polling higher than the Tories and BP. Then there are the Greens and pro-remain former Conservative MPs who are now standing as independents since being thrown out of the party by Boris.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
-
- Posts: 16879
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 10:59 am
- Location: Hamilton, Ontario
Re: UK election
No they aren't. Also Labour, SNP and Lib Dems are going to split the vote more than Tory and Brexit.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:35 amNo, just better informed than you.
The pro-remain parties combined have a greater share of the vote than the pro-Brexit parties.
Labour, SNP and the Lib Dem's combined are polling higher than the Tories and BP.
You are just clinging to wishful thinking. The Pro-Brexit camp is winning according to your polls which are no doubt underestimating their support and have every incentive to skew the polls against them to try and buoy the remoaners.
*yip*
-
- Posts: 18718
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 7:14 am
Re: UK election
The Tories and BP are polling between 40-45% with the Tories at a solid 30%. Whilst polls are notoriously difficult to project into seats in a first past the post system it is clearly not a majority. Pro-remain parties are also forming non-aggression pacts in order to maximise their chances of beating the Tories.StCapps wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:37 amNo they aren't. Also Labour, SNP and Lib Dems are going to split the vote more than Tory and Brexit.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:35 amNo, just better informed than you.
The pro-remain parties combined have a greater share of the vote than the pro-Brexit parties.
Labour, SNP and the Lib Dem's combined are polling higher than the Tories and BP.
You are just clinging to wishful thinking. The Pro-Brexit camp is winning according to your polls which are no doubt underestimating their support and have every incentive to skew the polls against them to try and buoy the remoaners.
Your certainty underlines your ignorance. It is too close to call although most pundits are predicting another hung Parliament.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
-
- Posts: 14791
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 9:43 am
Re: UK election
That is the only thing parliament can claim it is.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:01 amThe Tories and BP are polling between 40-45% with the Tories at a solid 30%. Whilst polls are notoriously difficult to project into seats in a first past the post system it is clearly not a majority. Pro-remain parties are also forming non-aggression pacts in order to maximise their chances of beating the Tories.StCapps wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:37 amNo they aren't. Also Labour, SNP and Lib Dems are going to split the vote more than Tory and Brexit.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:35 am
No, just better informed than you.
The pro-remain parties combined have a greater share of the vote than the pro-Brexit parties.
Labour, SNP and the Lib Dem's combined are polling higher than the Tories and BP.
You are just clinging to wishful thinking. The Pro-Brexit camp is winning according to your polls which are no doubt underestimating their support and have every incentive to skew the polls against them to try and buoy the remoaners.
Your certainty underlines your ignorance. It is too close to call although most pundits are predicting another hung Parliament.
#NotOneRedCent
-
- Posts: 16879
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 10:59 am
- Location: Hamilton, Ontario
Re: UK election
The Tories are closer to 40, are you even following the polls? Because apparently not, the aggregate has them at 38-39%, not 30%. Check again.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:01 amThe Tories and BP are polling between 40-45% with the Tories at a solid 30%. Whilst polls are notoriously difficult to project into seats in a first past the post system it is clearly not a majority. Pro-remain parties are also forming non-aggression pacts in order to maximise their chances of beating the Tories.StCapps wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:37 amNo they aren't. Also Labour, SNP and Lib Dems are going to split the vote more than Tory and Brexit.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:35 am
No, just better informed than you.
The pro-remain parties combined have a greater share of the vote than the pro-Brexit parties.
Labour, SNP and the Lib Dem's combined are polling higher than the Tories and BP.
You are just clinging to wishful thinking. The Pro-Brexit camp is winning according to your polls which are no doubt underestimating their support and have every incentive to skew the polls against them to try and buoy the remoaners.
Your certainty underlines your ignorance. It is too close to call although most pundits are predicting another hung Parliament.
*yip*
-
- Posts: 18718
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 7:14 am
Re: UK election
Hadn't noticed the recent drop in BP votes. They're running at about half of what they were a couple of weeks ago and are predicted to win zero seats. Even the Greens are predicted to win one seat. All they are doing is getting in Boris's way.StCapps wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:10 amThe Tories are closer to 40, are you even following the polls? Because apparently not, the aggregate has them at 38-39%, not 30%. Check again.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:01 amThe Tories and BP are polling between 40-45% with the Tories at a solid 30%. Whilst polls are notoriously difficult to project into seats in a first past the post system it is clearly not a majority. Pro-remain parties are also forming non-aggression pacts in order to maximise their chances of beating the Tories.StCapps wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 9:37 amNo they aren't. Also Labour, SNP and Lib Dems are going to split the vote more than Tory and Brexit.
You are just clinging to wishful thinking. The Pro-Brexit camp is winning according to your polls which are no doubt underestimating their support and have every incentive to skew the polls against them to try and buoy the remoaners.
Your certainty underlines your ignorance. It is too close to call although most pundits are predicting another hung Parliament.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
-
- Posts: 16879
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 10:59 am
- Location: Hamilton, Ontario
Re: UK election
Not if Brexit stands down in the seats where Conservatives can win, and even if they don't do that, the Brexit crowd will simply vote strategically in those ridings.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 2:12 pmHadn't noticed the recent drop in BP votes. They're running at about half of what they were a couple of weeks ago and are predicted to win zero seats. Even the Greens are predicted to win one seat. All they are doing is getting in Boris's way.StCapps wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:10 amThe Tories are closer to 40, are you even following the polls? Because apparently not, the aggregate has them at 38-39%, not 30%. Check again.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Wed Nov 13, 2019 10:01 am
The Tories and BP are polling between 40-45% with the Tories at a solid 30%. Whilst polls are notoriously difficult to project into seats in a first past the post system it is clearly not a majority. Pro-remain parties are also forming non-aggression pacts in order to maximise their chances of beating the Tories.
Your certainty underlines your ignorance. It is too close to call although most pundits are predicting another hung Parliament.
*yip*