I expect them to come out against seperatism achieved through violent means, but also do not expect them to commit politically to do anything about it. Most people in the West are sympathetic to the Kurdish wish for their own country. That's nice, but it's as useful in a fight against an Iraqi/Turkey/Iran war on Kurdistan as a Facebook like.Okeefenokee wrote:Expect to see freedom loving nations come out against self determination.BjornP wrote:Kurdish news
Iraqi Kurdistan to hold a referendum on independence:
http://www.rudaw.net/english/kurdistan/300320174
..going to Washington to argue for an end of US "one-Iraq" policy:
http://www.rudaw.net/english/kurdistan/300320173
And in Syria, the Syrian Kurds in the PYD fear that they have been sidelined by Russia in the Geneva peace talks, as part of a supposed Russian concession to Turkey:
http://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/syria/22022017
...and it seems that not only the PYD Kurds felt ignored and so they left the Geneva peace talks:
http://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/syria/300320171
Maybe once ISIS is destroyed, the next big fight in the region is going to be the Kurds against Turkey, Syria and the Arab-majority parts of Iraq. That's a PR disaster waiting to happen, given the positive media attention they've gotten from several countries on both the left and right since the fight against ISIS started.
Without any allies, an Iraqi Kurdish attempt at gaining independence against the wishes of the Iraqi government would end up with the same outcome as a going against the Iranian, Turkish or Syrian government: Defeat. Iraqi Kurdistan is definitely the strongest and most militarily efficient Kurdish region thanks to over a decade of self-rule, and they might be able to hold out for some time, but even if the US won't fight with Iraq against a Kurdish independence war, I strongly suspect Turkey or/and Iran would be willing to assist Iraq. And an Iraq allied with Iran, or with Turkey... game over for Kurdistan.
I'm hoping that the Iraqi Kurds won't go the military route, though. Better in the short term if they dedicate their efforts to making deals and giving assurances to and with Iraq, Turkey, Syria and Iran and work from there for their independence. If their independence efforts lands them three, hostile neighbours with powerful allies, who don't accept them as anything but lost territory, Kurdistan's going to be a short-lived state.
