2020 General Election Predictions

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Montegriffo
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Montegriffo » Fri Oct 30, 2020 7:35 pm

I predict that there will be some red faces around here in about 4 days.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
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AverageJoe
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by AverageJoe » Fri Oct 30, 2020 8:48 pm

Meanwhile, in Texas...

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Haumana
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Haumana » Fri Oct 30, 2020 8:55 pm

AverageJoe wrote:
Fri Oct 30, 2020 8:48 pm
Meanwhile, in Texas...

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They set them up like they are bowling pins. Bowl em over, Kamala! Rumors are true Texas is going blue! :lol:

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AverageJoe
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by AverageJoe » Fri Oct 30, 2020 9:03 pm

We’ve got to stop the bleeding': Democrats sound alarm in Miami
Party officials in Florida’s most populous county are sweating weak early voting turnout among several key groups.


MIAMI — Democrats are sounding the alarm about weak voter turnout rates in Florida’s biggest county, Miami-Dade, where a strong Republican showing is endangering Joe Biden’s chances in the nation’s biggest swing state.
Blacks and Latino votes are either sitting this one out or are going Republican much more than expected. Neither is a good sign for Biden. He absolutely cannot win Florida if he loses Miami.

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TheReal_ND
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by TheReal_ND » Fri Oct 30, 2020 9:09 pm

Montegriffo wrote:
Fri Oct 30, 2020 7:35 pm
I predict that there will be some red faces around here in about 4 days.
More like red ass when Trump flys over to England and spanks the queen.

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Sat Oct 31, 2020 1:09 am

AverageJoe wrote:
Fri Oct 30, 2020 9:03 pm
We’ve got to stop the bleeding': Democrats sound alarm in Miami
Party officials in Florida’s most populous county are sweating weak early voting turnout among several key groups.


MIAMI — Democrats are sounding the alarm about weak voter turnout rates in Florida’s biggest county, Miami-Dade, where a strong Republican showing is endangering Joe Biden’s chances in the nation’s biggest swing state.
Blacks and Latino votes are either sitting this one out or are going Republican much more than expected. Neither is a good sign for Biden. He absolutely cannot win Florida if he loses Miami.
Biden shouldn't even by trying to win Florida at this point

Democrats are supposed to be running up the score in Florida mail in and early voting, if they were going to win the state, yet they are only up 17,000 inferred votes, according the Democrats own early voting numbers, and will likely be behind on election day, when Republicans are more than twice as likely to show up than Democrats

it's not gonna happen, Trump is gonna win easily, probably by at least 3 points
Last edited by StCapps on Sat Oct 31, 2020 2:07 am, edited 4 times in total.
*yip*

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by StCapps » Sat Oct 31, 2020 1:18 am

Trump has a 260 floor that includes

Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina (aka the fake swing states)

Biden has a 278 ceiling that includes

Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire (aka the real swing states)


so the presidential election basically comes down to this.....

if Trump wins one of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania, or he flips Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC

if Biden sweeps all four of those rust belt states, and doesn't lose Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC

this election is extremely likely to come down to a rust belt tipping point state


stick that in your electoral maps and smoke it

a Biden win is not impossible, but it's not that likely either
*yip*

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Montegriffo
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Montegriffo » Sat Oct 31, 2020 3:50 am

TheReal_ND wrote:
Fri Oct 30, 2020 9:09 pm
Montegriffo wrote:
Fri Oct 30, 2020 7:35 pm
I predict that there will be some red faces around here in about 4 days.
More like red ass when Trump flys over to England and spanks the queen.
You ok mate?
Not seen you around much recently.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
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Martin Hash
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Martin Hash » Sat Oct 31, 2020 5:10 am

StCapps wrote:
Sat Oct 31, 2020 1:18 am
Trump has a 260 floor that includes

Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina (aka the fake swing states)

Biden has a 278 ceiling that includes

Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire (aka the real swing states)


so the presidential election basically comes down to this.....

if Trump wins one of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania, or he flips Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC

if Biden sweeps all four of those rust belt states, and doesn't lose Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC

this election is extremely likely to come down to a rust belt tipping point state


stick that in your electoral maps and smoke it

a Biden win is not impossible, but it's not that likely either
That’s the best, most succinct, analysis I’ve seen, and explains why Biden is in Minnesota.
Shamedia, Shamdemic, Shamucation, Shamlection, Shamconomy & Shamate Change

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TheReal_ND
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by TheReal_ND » Sat Oct 31, 2020 8:24 am

Montegriffo wrote:
Sat Oct 31, 2020 3:50 am
TheReal_ND wrote:
Fri Oct 30, 2020 9:09 pm
Montegriffo wrote:
Fri Oct 30, 2020 7:35 pm
I predict that there will be some red faces around here in about 4 days.
More like red ass when Trump flys over to England and spanks the queen.
You ok mate?
Not seen you around much recently.
Yeah great thx for asking 🙂