2020 General Election Predictions

[Hanarchy Montanarchy]

You guys seem to think that Biden and Harris are trying to beat Trump at the game that Trump is really good at: namely, getting enthusiastic support from an energized base that will show up to rallies.

But, everything about the Biden/Harris campaign says otherwise. They are trying to win by being the anti-disruption party - the party of more or less ambivalent support for technocracy.

It remains to be seen how this strategy will shake out, but you guys are really shooting yourself in the foot by assuming Antifa or BLM are the Biden base he is trying to energize in the way Trump energizes his supporters.

[Zlaxer]

You guys seem to think that Biden and Harris are trying to beat Trump at the game that Trump is really good at: namely, getting enthusiastic support from an energized base that will show up to rallies.

But, everything about the Biden/Harris campaign says otherwise. They are trying to win by being the anti-disruption party - the party of more or less ambivalent support for technocracy. Packing the court, open borders, reinstatement of critical race theory in government agencies, PR and DC statehood, amnesty, abolishment of zoning codes, abolishing 2A, a belief that children are communal property, Green New Deal - these are non-Disrupting? Check the Biden website and their speeches

It remains to be seen how this strategy will shake out, but you guys are really shooting yourself in the foot by assuming Antifa or BLM are the Biden base he is trying to energize in the way Trump energizes his supporters.

[Hanarchy Montanarchy]

Zlaxer gives a perfect example: most people don't see that and start tearing out their hair over ZOMG, COMMUNISTS.

Other than the Supreme Court packing, mostly it looks like paranoid nonsense.

[Zlaxer]

Zlaxer gives a perfect example: most people don't see that and start tearing out their hair over ZOMG, COMMUNISTS.

Other than the Supreme Court packing, mostly it looks like paranoid nonsense.

Most people don’t see what?


Was there not just an “Anti-Communist” 30k car rally in FL? Your perception of the country is wrong IMHO.

[Hanarchy Montanarchy]

Maybe.

I was asked a question about misinformation, and I responded that it is plausible that Biden is actually 12 points ahead despite low rally turn out.

Believe what you like.

[Martin Hash]

2020 is the biggest misinformation project in American history.

Does anyone on this forum think otherwise? (I talking to you Hanny.)

Well, it makes sense that Biden events would be sparsely populated due to the different stance his organizers and supporters are taking on COVID.

"Biggest misinformation project in American history" isn't really something I have the expertise to comment on. I am having as hard a time as anyone else accurately assessing the levels of Trump support v Biden support.

I expect a full mea culpa when Trump trounces Biden. If it's close (Trump will still win) then I'll admit I was wrong. You need to break out of TDS, and if I'm wrong then it's time for me to re-evaluate living in America.

[Zlaxer]

Maybe.

I was asked a question about misinformation, and I responded that it is plausible that Biden is actually 12 points ahead despite low rally turn out.

Believe what you like.

I am nervous about the polls - apparently the Rasmussen one (12 pt lead) made the assumption that only 76% of registered Rs would pull handle for the Donald. Trump got 91% of primary votes (or convention votes - I forget) - no president who has gotten that has ever lost the election. Bush 41 got 71% when he lost to Billary and that was mostly due to Ross. There are other stats demonstrating that this is a ridiculous assumption to make (even with never Trumpers).

[Zlaxer]

@HM - who are you voting for?

[Martin Hash]

If Biden is ahead of Trump by 12 points then it will be the biggest landslide since FDR won his 3rd term. How people hear numbers like that and don't pushback is beyond me? It just goes to prove that anyone who would push back, can't because the MSM & Big Tech won't give them a platform.

[Hanarchy Montanarchy]

Sounds like what Lena Dunam was saying about Clinton's loss.

This level of catastrophizing is one of the things that makes me think you might all be falling prey to motivated reasoning vis Trump.