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Smitty-48
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by Smitty-48 » Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:56 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:54 pm
Smitty-48 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:52 pm
I can extrapolate from history, but we are in a war in real time, it moves so fast, you can't know what to do unless you are in the room with access to the classified breifings
Extrapolate away, do your best without the classified briefings. That's all I did, I might be way off the mark, but I still take a stab in the dark.
If I was PM I wouldn't take any chances, the system is so rickety that it is going to collapse if this is not a false alarm
I would invoke martial law and get everyone in their holes, right fucking now, and those who did not obey, I would have them interned by the RCMP
Nec Aspera Terrent
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StCapps
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by StCapps » Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:57 pm
Smitty-48 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:56 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:54 pm
Smitty-48 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:52 pm
I can extrapolate from history, but we are in a war in real time, it moves so fast, you can't know what to do unless you are in the room with access to the classified breifings
Extrapolate away, do your best without the classified briefings. That's all I did, I might be way off the mark, but I still take a stab in the dark.
If I was PM I wouldn't take any chances, the system is so rickety that it is going to collapse if this is not a false alarm
I would invoke martial law and get everyone in their holes, right fucking now, and those who did not obey, I would have them interned by the RCMP
What are the percentage chances of false alarm vs worse case scenario, in your stab in the dark estimation?
*yip*
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TheReal_ND
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by TheReal_ND » Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:58 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:56 pm
TheReal_ND wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:55 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:53 pm
He did? Where?
Do you assessment less vague than "bad" Nuke? Or is that as specific as you can be?
I knew it was really bad about late January. As for Smitty, I can't speak for him but he is on war footing.
How bad is it Nuke?
It looks really bad. I can't trust my judgement.
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StCapps
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by StCapps » Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:59 pm
TheReal_ND wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:58 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:56 pm
TheReal_ND wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:55 pm
I knew it was really bad about late January. As for Smitty, I can't speak for him but he is on war footing.
How bad is it Nuke?
It looks really bad. I can't trust my judgement.
No one can trust their judgement, that doesn't prevent judging anyway, for me at least.
*yip*
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Smitty-48
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by Smitty-48 » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:00 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:57 pm
Smitty-48 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:56 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:54 pm
Extrapolate away, do your best without the classified briefings. That's all I did, I might be way off the mark, but I still take a stab in the dark.
If I was PM I wouldn't take any chances, the system is so rickety that it is going to collapse if this is not a false alarm
I would invoke martial law and get everyone in their holes, right fucking now, and those who did not obey, I would have them interned by the RCMP
What are the percentage chances of false alarm vs worse case scenario, in your stab in the dark estimation?
No idea, I don't feel fear, but this bug is spooky
Bottom line is that if it gets dug in, concentrated, it seems to become a firestorm
So I would treat this like a nuke inbound, and get everybody down in their holes until we know more
Nec Aspera Terrent
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StCapps
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by StCapps » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:05 pm
Smitty-48 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:00 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:57 pm
Smitty-48 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:56 pm
If I was PM I wouldn't take any chances, the system is so rickety that it is going to collapse if this is not a false alarm
I would invoke martial law and get everyone in their holes, right fucking now, and those who did not obey, I would have them interned by the RCMP
What are the percentage chances of false alarm vs worse case scenario, in your stab in the dark estimation?
No idea, I don't feel fear, but this bug is spooky
Bottom line is that if it gets dug in, concentrated, it seems to become a firestorm
So I would treat this like a nuke inbound, and get everybody down in their holes until we know more
I think we should hold off forcing everybody down in their holes until we know more, if they want to do it of their own accord then fine. Protect those who are old or have underlying conditions with social distance, but hold off on draconian crackdowns until closer to peak at least.
Last edited by StCapps on Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
*yip*
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Smitty-48
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by Smitty-48 » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:05 pm
Even if this turns out not to be the Doomsday Bug, this is what they look like
So far, it has this little mechanism which makes repairs, so its mutation rate is slow
That's our saving grace right now, but it can change, the bug can change and turn on a dime
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StCapps
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by StCapps » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:07 pm
Smitty-48 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:05 pm
Even if this turns out not to be the Doomsday Bug, this is what they look like
So far, it has this little mechanism which makes repairs, so its mutation rate it slow
That's our saving grace right now, but it can change, the bug can change and turn on a dime
It could change for the good or for the bad. If it changes for the bad, then I'd go with the Smitty Plan. Based on what I'm seeing right now, it doesn't look so bad, don't see the need for draconian crackdowns, except in specifically hard hit locations near peak right now.
Last edited by StCapps on Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
*yip*
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TheReal_ND
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by TheReal_ND » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:07 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:59 pm
TheReal_ND wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:58 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:56 pm
How bad is it Nuke?
It looks really bad. I can't trust my judgement.
No one can trust their judgement, that doesn't prevent judging anyway, for me at least.
I know enough to know this is spooky af. This thing is like underwater Ebola aids.
You want the truth? I knew it was out of control. They projected a negative three percentage lose of gfp in China. That's when I told her to stock up. My wife. She did. She's out of a job and in the countryside with her family. I've been shit posting this whole time. Idk how bad this will be but I know they are losing control rn
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StCapps
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by StCapps » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:09 pm
TheReal_ND wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:07 pm
StCapps wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:59 pm
TheReal_ND wrote: ↑Thu Mar 26, 2020 10:58 pm
It looks really bad. I can't trust my judgement.
No one can trust their judgement, that doesn't prevent judging anyway, for me at least.
I know enough to know this is spooky af. This thing is like underwater Ebola aids.
You want the truth? I knew it was out of control. They projected a negative three percentage lose of gfp in China. That's when I told her to stock up. My wife. She did. She's out of a job and in the countryside with her family. I've been shit posting this whole time. Idk how bad this will be but I know they are losing control rn
The economic damage is going to be bad, 3 million Americans have lost their jobs since this began, most of it one week. I'm hearing projections of up to 20-30% reduction in American GDP for the second quarter.
Last edited by StCapps on Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
*yip*