The Lib Dems are drawing a helluva lot more from Labour than they are from the Tories, dude who can't read polls. When Labour gains, the Lib Dems lose the same amount of support, When the Lib Dems gain, Labour loses the same amount of support, they are not stealing evenly from both parties, it's as plain as day.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 6:31 amWell if those figures could translate directly to seats in Parliament (which they can't) then the Tories still don't have a majority.
If you split it along Leave/Remain lines then Remain has a small majority.
The thing is, pro-Brexit voters in the North of England are traditional Labour voters so they have no place to go but the Brexit Party. They will never vote Tory. So the BP is drawing from Tories disappointed at the slow movement of Brexit and Labour leavers who can't bring themselves to vote Tory.
Pro-Remain Tories, likewise, have no place to go but the Lib Dems.
The Lib Dems are drawing from both parties based on their clear anti-Brexit policies and distaste for both Corbyn and Boris.
UK election
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Re: UK election
*yip*
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Re: UK election
Your faith in polls with a range of 8% is misguided.StCapps wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 6:33 amThe Lib Dems are drawing a helluva lot more from Labour than they are from the Tories, dude who can't read polls. When Labour gains, the Lib Dems lose support, When the Lib Dems gain, Labour loses support, they are not stealing evenly from both parties, it's as plain as day.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 6:31 amWell if those figures could translate directly to seats in Parliament (which they can't) then the Tories still don't have a majority.
If you split it along Leave/Remain lines then Remain has a small majority.
The thing is, pro-Brexit voters in the North of England are traditional Labour voters so they have no place to go but the Brexit Party. They will never vote Tory. So the BP is drawing from Tories disappointed at the slow movement of Brexit and Labour leavers who can't bring themselves to vote Tory.
Pro-Remain Tories, likewise, have no place to go but the Lib Dems.
The Lib Dems are drawing from both parties based on their clear anti-Brexit policies and distaste for both Corbyn and Boris.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
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Re: UK election
Your faith in the Lib Dems pulling equally from both parties is misguided. Just because you are a Tory who is going to vote Lib Dem doesn't mean you are indicative of large amount of Lib Dem voters, stop projecting.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 6:37 amYour faith in polls with a range of 8% is misguided.StCapps wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 6:33 amThe Lib Dems are drawing a helluva lot more from Labour than they are from the Tories, dude who can't read polls. When Labour gains, the Lib Dems lose support, When the Lib Dems gain, Labour loses support, they are not stealing evenly from both parties, it's as plain as day.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 6:31 am
Well if those figures could translate directly to seats in Parliament (which they can't) then the Tories still don't have a majority.
If you split it along Leave/Remain lines then Remain has a small majority.
The thing is, pro-Brexit voters in the North of England are traditional Labour voters so they have no place to go but the Brexit Party. They will never vote Tory. So the BP is drawing from Tories disappointed at the slow movement of Brexit and Labour leavers who can't bring themselves to vote Tory.
Pro-Remain Tories, likewise, have no place to go but the Lib Dems.
The Lib Dems are drawing from both parties based on their clear anti-Brexit policies and distaste for both Corbyn and Boris.
*yip*
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Re: UK election
I'm a Tory now? I thought I was a Marxist?
BTW I've never voted Tory or Labour.
I've never voted Lib Dems either, only ever voted Green before.
This election is too important to waste my vote on the Greens though and the Lib Dem aims are closest to mine.
BTW I've never voted Tory or Labour.
I've never voted Lib Dems either, only ever voted Green before.
This election is too important to waste my vote on the Greens though and the Lib Dem aims are closest to mine.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
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Re: UK election
You never voted for your boy John Major? How odd.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 8:06 amI'm a Tory now? I thought I was a Marxist?
BTW I've never voted Tory or Labour.
I've never voted Lib Dems either, only ever voted Green before.
This election is too important to waste my vote on the Greens though and the Lib Dem aims are closest to mine.
Says this election is too important to waste his vote, and then plans to waste his vote on the Lib Dems and split the pro-EU vote.
*yip*
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Re: UK election
And what have they done in the wake of Thatcher ?StCapps wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 8:23 amYou never voted for your boy John Major? How odd.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 8:06 amI'm a Tory now? I thought I was a Marxist?
BTW I've never voted Tory or Labour.
I've never voted Lib Dems either, only ever voted Green before.
This election is too important to waste my vote on the Greens though and the Lib Dem aims are closest to mine.
Says this election is too important to waste his vote, and then plans to waste his vote on the Lib Dems and split the pro-EU vote.
Nothing, the ball has been handed to America, London fiddles while Britain burns.
Nec Aspera Terrent
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Re: UK election
My particular constituency has been Tory my whole voting life. The only party with a chance of beating them is the Lib Dems. I could never bring myself to vote for this Labour party anyway.
As for Sir John, I had removed myself from the electoral roll as a protest against the milk snatcher's disastrous poll tax in the late 80s so was disenfranchised at the time. I'm not sure if I could have voted Tory even if I wasn't.
Whilst I consider him the best PM in my time that is a low bar and there were still many Tory policies he held that I didn't approve of.
Pragmatic > ideological every time.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
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Re: UK election
refusing to vote because of a policy you don't like is the opposite of pragmatic.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 26, 2019 10:25 amMy particular constituency has been Tory my whole voting life. The only party with a chance of beating them is the Lib Dems. I could never bring myself to vote for this Labour party anyway.
As for Sir John, I had removed myself from the electoral roll as a protest against the milk snatcher's disastrous poll tax in the late 80s so was disenfranchised at the time. I'm not sure if I could have voted Tory even if I wasn't.
Whilst I consider him the best PM in my time that is a low bar and there were still many Tory policies he held that I didn't approve of.
Pragmatic > ideological every time.
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Re: UK election
Not voting in a winner-takes-all system is perfectly rational. Especially if neither of the top candidates represents your values or the outcome is a given. Election turnout is measured so a vote not cast is also counted. Low participation might be a signal that brings forth a new option.
An nescis, mi fili, quantilla prudentia mundus regatur? - Axel Oxenstierna
Nie lügen die Menschen so viel wie nach einer Jagd, während eines Krieges oder vor Wahlen. - Otto von Bismarck
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Re: UK election
I said policy not lack of choices. But that low participation being taken as a signal. That doesn't fly in this country, the common refrain is "if you don't vote you can't complain." Or you'll just be looked at as plain lazy. There is nothing pragmatic about it.Hastur wrote: ↑Wed Nov 27, 2019 2:46 amNot voting in a winner-takes-all system is perfectly rational. Especially if neither of the top candidates represents your values or the outcome is a given. Election turnout is measured so a vote not cast is also counted. Low participation might be a signal that brings forth a new option.