MHF Democrat Primary Poll

[clubgop]

To a degree yes, but that doesn't mean they are so inaccurate as to dismiss entirely. A grain of salt is required, and in some cases a massive grain of salt at that, but lazily dismissing all poll results out of hand is called overreacting.

2 weeks, 2 week before a vote they take more polls and the lead almost always is "its seems the race has tightened" or "so and so has broken out to a big lead" if you hear either of those you know all polls beforehand were bullshit. Right now all the polls I see are Registered voters or adults dismiss those, likely voters is where you need to be.

Don't dismiss outright, just take with a grain of salt. Just factor those things into the analysis, ignore polls is not the answer.

The polls and polling industry is broken and no one knows how to fix it. Shy Tory effect, defiant Trump effect, no one is dealing with it.

[clubgop]

Iowa State Fair Corn Kernel Poll


From perspective, this looks to be closer to reality than 'well respected' polls.

What are you talking about? Biden is 25.3% in Iowa on aggregate, and Elizabeth Warren is 16.3% on aggregate. The only major difference here is Buttigieg is way higher than usual and Harris is lower than usual, otherwise it is very similar to the aggregate, which is comprised of the polls you are shitting on.

Pro-tip:They only care about where their Hawaiian by way of Moscow princess is placed they dont care about the rest and in way they are right. The polls are meaningless drivel and at the lowest point of public confidence in them a party is relying on them. A party mind you that was caught rigging their primary the last time. So the media was already running that party now they really are running that shit. Everytime Dirty dick openly supports his party, it's like he taking a piss. He gets painfully burned.

[StCapps]

2 weeks, 2 week before a vote they take more polls and the lead almost always is "its seems the race has tightened" or "so and so has broken out to a big lead" if you hear either of those you know all polls beforehand were bullshit. Right now all the polls I see are Registered voters or adults dismiss those, likely voters is where you need to be.

Don't dismiss outright, just take with a grain of salt. Just factor those things into the analysis, ignore polls is not the answer.

The polls and polling industry is broken and no one knows how to fix it. Shy Tory effect, defiant Trump effect, no one is dealing with it.

Being off by the margin of error ain't that broken. Polling bias is a thing, but that doesn't mean polls are completely useless, you simply need to take them with a grain of salt and not pretend they are infallible, factor the pro-Democrat bias into the analysis of the polls.

The worst polls are the head-to-head matchups before the primary is over, especially with incumbent POTUS vs other party potential nominees, basically the only thing you can tell from them, is who is seen as the most electable nominee to run against the incumbent, but the numbers relative to Trump at this point are fairly meaningless.

No need to overreact and write off every poll because they were off by around 3 points in 2016, that's going way too far.

[clubgop]

They were off by the margin of error all one way and in a close race in a 50-50 country being close because the race is close isn't good enough and the more local the more they were off. This wasn't just 2016 this was years in the making. 2014 was awful. That last poll being within the margin of error while every poll before that was used to set and tell a narrative. Nope, fuck them.

[StCapps]

They were off by the margin of error all one way and in a close race in a 50-50 country being close because the race is close isn't good enough and the more local the more they were off. This wasn't just 2016 this was years in the making. 2014 was awful. That last poll being within the margin of error while every poll before that was used to set and tell a narrative. Nope, fuck them.

Being off by the margin of error in one direction is still only off by the margin of error. Take it with a grain of salt, dismissing it entirely is a complete overreaction.

[Fife]

[Speaker to Animals]

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2019 ... iowa-poll/

Looks like the DNC is done with the Biden farce. Fake pollsters are rigging it for Chief Warren.

My guess at the moment.. They used Biden as a placeholder for the front runner while they figured out how they were going to play the establishment candidates. Harris didn't get past Tulsi, so they seem intent on backing Warren.

I expect shitty propaganda news coming Bernie's way soon. Biden doesn't get past South Carolina.

[StCapps]

Fake News. Biden up by 9 points in Iowa.

[Ph64]

Fake News. Biden up by 9 points in Iowa.

I'm sure Iowans are just as smart as white people.

[C-Mag]

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2019 ... iowa-poll/

Looks like the DNC is done with the Biden farce. Fake pollsters are rigging it for Chief Warren.

My guess at the moment.. They used Biden as a placeholder for the front runner while they figured out how they were going to play the establishment candidates. Harris didn't get past Tulsi, so they seem intent on backing Warren.

I expect shitty propaganda news coming Bernie's way soon. Biden doesn't get past South Carolina.

They may want Warren, but she looked really bad in the 2nd debate. Panicky, desperate and unhinged.

That said, she's plugged into big money, Wall street backing her, and if you look at her aggregate polls she's on a slow steady climb.