2018 Mid-Term Elections

[AverageJoe]

75% reporting and Desantis has a nearly 2% lead. Scott is pulling away now a bit too

OK...weird update just occurred on the site. reporting went from 75% to 69%. Desantis still leads though

[pineapplemike]

PBS calling it for Bob Menendez, lol. Hilarious

[AverageJoe]

PBS calling it for Bob Menendez, lol. Hilarious

I'm showing only 3% reporting in there

[pineapplemike]

Yeah, same, they called one race with 0.3 percent of the reporting earlier haha. Silly I know but those projections often prove to be accurate

[C-Mag]

PBS calling it for Bob Menendez, lol. Hilarious

I'm showing only 3% reporting in there

I had MSNBC on a bit ago and they called it for Menendez at 1%, and the vote count had his competitor ahead.

[The Conservative]

PBS calling it for Bob Menendez, lol. Hilarious

I'm showing only 3% reporting in there

I had MSNBC on a bit ago and they called it for Menendez at 1%, and the vote count had his competitor ahead.

Better than Mass...

Warren Ahead at 0.png

[Ph64]

Yeah, same, they called one race with 0.3 percent of the reporting earlier haha. Silly I know but those projections often prove to be accurate

Well, I understand they go by state history of likely voting, etc, but still... After 2016 you'd think they'd at least hold on predictions until you got say 5-10%. I don't expect my R votes to matter really on anything but possibly governor, which is the only real close race. Lamont(D) up by 5, but it's closed from like 72/25% and they were predicting his win with 0.3% of the vote, now it's 3% and it's 51/46% and he's still the "projected winner"? I'm not that certain mysef.

Edit: c!osed even more, 49.4/47% with 6% in - they removed the projected winner checkmark now.

[Ph64]

Better than Mass...Warren Ahead at 0.png

Yeah, but she's got that special native magic, that extra 1/1024th of the votes clinched it.

[AverageJoe]

From 538 just a minute ago, the highlight is mine:

DAN HOPKINS8:57 PM
I’ve been talking about the panel I’ve run, and while it didn’t have any questions about who was likely to vote, it does let me see how Americans’ vote preferences have evolved over the past two years. The short answer is that they haven’t. Of all my respondents, just 2 percent moved from Trump to the 2018 Democratic House candidate, while 1.5 percent shifted from Clinton to the GOP House candidate. Now my panel over-represents older, more consistent voters. But among them, this election looks a lot like 2016.

You can almost see the sweat starting to form.

*Edit 538 polls just went in a minute from Dems taking House at 62% to 54.6%

[Haumana]

Waiting to watch Ana Kasparian and Cenk blow their shit again.