Q is coming. Keep a steady hand.
Beware the Red Wave
Why might this fall’s midterm elections be an “unexpected” Republican rout? Three reasons. Plus, various items from hither and yon.
1. Polling:
Yes, Rasmussen Reports offers polling which is often of an optimistic character for those of us who lean more to the conservative side of the political fence, and because of this fact, Rasmussen’s work product is sometimes ignored by the legacy media when it discusses the current political reality.
But recently Rasmussen released a poll result which shouldn’t be ignored. Namely…
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 74% of Likely U.S. Voters prefer a free market economic system over a socialist system. Only 13% think socialism is a better economic system, and just as many (13%) are undecided.
2. SCOTUS strategery:
If Trump nominates someone uncontroversial in style and unassailable in scholarship and comportment, Joe Manchin for example is going to have a major problem with the voters back home in West Virginia if he refuses to support a confirmation. That goes for Claire McCaskill in Missouri, Joe Donnelly in Indiana, Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota, John Tester in Montana, and Bill Nelson in Florida — all of whom are in trouble as Democrats in states Trump won in 2016. A “yes” vote on a Kavanaugh, for example, will likely convince Democrat voters in those states their incumbent is weak and ineffective in fighting the president, while a “no” vote convinces everybody else that the senator is an obstructionist they’re going to be paying the price for.
3. DNC Proggos are fucking nutjobs, and Americans find them to be degenerate:
And the third reason a red wave could materialize is the country seems to be happy with the way things are going in America. On Wednesday, the National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar penned a piece noting the Democrats’ struggles in mobilizing the Hispanic vote — something it has bet big on this spring and summer with the nonstop messaging about immigration:
Even during the heat of the family-separation crisis, Democrats are underperforming in heavily Hispanic constituencies, from GOP-held border battlegrounds in Texas to diversifying districts in Southern California to the nation’s most populous Senate battleground in Florida.
If immigration affects the battle for Congress, it will be because of the anti-Trump backlash among suburban women as much as any increased mobilization in the Hispanic communities. The early returns are a sobering reminder for Democrats that, even as the Republican Party is becoming a more nativist institution, GOP candidates are still holding their own in diverse battlegrounds by distinguishing themselves from Trump.
If the Fed can keep inflating and puffing the smoke til November, it should make for an interesting season. We're heading for really, really, shitty economic news, but we'll have a much better chance at survival if the DNC first, and the GOP next, are taken off the respirator once and for all. DNC first, though.
