TheOneX wrote: ↑Sun Nov 24, 2024 9:19 pm
Russia is not in a good place, but neither is Ukraine. It is in all practicality a stalemate. Both sides have taken heavy losses. As of today both sides are losing this war. Here is the key, though, as long as Ukraine retains NATO support it isn't going to get much worse for Ukraine as it is right now. On the flip side, the longer this war goes the worse and worse it will get for Russia. Any escalation, short of nukes, doesn't really change this equation, which is why NATO is support escalation. As long as Russia doesn't go to nukes, any escalation is going to cause more harm to Russia than Ukraine.
In a war of attrition Russia will eventually outlast Ukraine, but NATO is making sure it will come at a cost to Russia that could destroy Russia.
Remember what I said originally? I said Russia may win against Ukraine but they aren't going to win overall.
With their attempt to create a new power in the East with China and India as partners, it wasn't going to last long especially if Trump won.
Which he has.
China is going to see a massive reduction in sales to the US (one of its largest partners) and India is getting tired of what they are seeing already.
Africa is already pushing back against China too.
The Eastern power with Trump in the WH is not going to survive.
Russia and China are both in a bad place long term. This is linchpin on MAGA and that mentality holding the WH for the next eight years.
If they only keep in for the next four, China and Russia may eek out a win ultimately.