Post
by Speaker to Animals » Mon Nov 06, 2017 10:15 pm
Even a mixed economy is not likely to deal with this issue.
Mixed economies are in as much trouble as the United States right now, and it's likely to get worse.
We have, on the one hand, the inevitability of massive unemployment as technological progress automates most everything. On the other hand, that same technological progress will make the means of production non-scarce. That is, anybody will be able to make most of whatever it is they want.
For instance, there exist no practical reasons why some hypothetical 3D printer cannot print all the parts of a computer in the future if given the materials necessary. We already are inching towards totally automated software development with code generation algorithms combined with the latest AI techniques. Think of all the money you spent on software in the past few years. That probably won't be necessary at some point. As cheap as computers have become in the past few years, they could become far cheaper (just the cost of materials) at some point.
I don't know how far out that really is. But that day is coming nevertheless.
I think governments and corporations will eventually lose power as people just drift away from cities and live out on their own in voluntary communities (if in communities at all). If you can fabricate whatever you want with 3D printers and nano-farms, and you can then automate your own food production, have your home built by robots, etc., then why even bother with cities and governments?
Again: I don't know how long it will take humanity to get from here to there, but it's not like some final event where somebody flips the light switch centuries from now so we don't need to think about it. It's a process that happens over time, and we have to adapt to that process and the change it entails. Also, if the singularity cultists are correct, that process is not going to be centuries at all, but possibly within a century. Once you achieve general AI, that thing is just going to rapidly snowball in intelligence as it constantly improves upon itself at computer speed.
Capitalism gets a pre-industrial society from a medieval state to the state I just described. It's a transitional system. Possibly the most important transition of all of them (even over that of agriculture), but still a temporary thing. The idea that it's the end state is what I take issue with. But I don't really know how best to adapt to these things.