
North Korea News
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Re: North Korea News
Just to clarify here, I've said all along, Kim Jong Un is not the regime, Kim Jong Un is just its mascot, killing Kim Jong Un would not bring the regime down, not killing Kim Jong Un would not prop the regime up.
Kim Jong Un is a non issue, I'm not going to be aiming to miss him, but I'm not going to be aiming for him neither, a strategic nuclear counterforce, is not a targeted assassination operation.
At the same time, I'm not promising zero civilian casualties here, the regime's strategic infrastructure is in and around Pyongyang, a city of 2.5 million people, and the counterforce, it's gonna be violent, and B61's are hot, so, moms and babies will die, I ain't promising a bed of roses.
On the other hand, it's not going to kill more people than Operation Rolling Thunder in Vietnam, well short of that.
Kim Jong Un is a non issue, I'm not going to be aiming to miss him, but I'm not going to be aiming for him neither, a strategic nuclear counterforce, is not a targeted assassination operation.
At the same time, I'm not promising zero civilian casualties here, the regime's strategic infrastructure is in and around Pyongyang, a city of 2.5 million people, and the counterforce, it's gonna be violent, and B61's are hot, so, moms and babies will die, I ain't promising a bed of roses.
On the other hand, it's not going to kill more people than Operation Rolling Thunder in Vietnam, well short of that.
Nec Aspera Terrent
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Re: North Korea News
2.5 million is as little baby. What? They didn't think to build bomb shelters by now?
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Re: North Korea News
Well, bear in mind, can't telegraph it, for a counterforce, you can't go through the normal routine of posturing and running your mouths off about what you're gonna do, you don't say "fire and fury", you just do it, and it's gonna come in swift, bold and decisive, with no warning, so, people are gonna get caught in the storm.
When it's nuclear weapons in play, there's no Marquis of Queensbury rules, nuclear weapons is a harsh realm, on the other hand, North Korea named the terms, they chose to threaten the CONUS with nuclear weapons, at which point, it's kill or be killed.
When it's nuclear weapons in play, there's no Marquis of Queensbury rules, nuclear weapons is a harsh realm, on the other hand, North Korea named the terms, they chose to threaten the CONUS with nuclear weapons, at which point, it's kill or be killed.
Nec Aspera Terrent
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Re: North Korea News
If Trump has secretly greenlit your plan as of the second that you finish reading this post, how long approximately until H-Hour is reached?Smitty-48 wrote:Problem is, when you warm it up, you can only hold it there for a short time, the counterforce would be very complex, a lot of moving parts, and it has to be stealthy on approach, can't telegraph it, so once you're at the startline, then you have to go, both to achieve surprise, but also because you can't keep it straining at the leash.
So even if you want to wait, whenever you decide to go, you have to put it in motion to H-hour, and remember, you cant alert the NK's, so the more times you do this and then abort, the more likley they're going to get wind of it and then go operational, immediate action,
They may not have the equation solved for the hydrogen bomb to the CONUS quite yet, but there's lots of other things within range which they could hit, so when you decide to go, it's do or do not, you can't keep your ducks in a row indefinitely for a counterforce, you need to pick your window and be decisive about these sorts of operations.
*yip*
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Re: North Korea News
I'd have to know what the current disposition of forces is at STRATCOM and PACOM right now, depends on their current readiness level, I'd need state secrets to make my warplan and give you a combat appreciation on it.StCapps wrote:If Trump has secretly greenlit your plan as of the second that you finish reading this post, how long approximately until H-Hour is reached?
If the forces were already at very high readiness, could be 48 hours in a pinch, if they're not, could be 48 days.
Nec Aspera Terrent
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Re: North Korea News
Like, I don't know what Mattis is doing behind the scenes, but if he was doing this, the first I would know, is when it went down, because again, a counterforce, you do not telegraph.
But here's the thing, Mattis just came out today and shot his mouth off about it, so what does that tell you?
But here's the thing, Mattis just came out today and shot his mouth off about it, so what does that tell you?
Nec Aspera Terrent
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Re: North Korea News
That US doesn't have all it's ducks in a row yet, and aren't planning to get them in a row all that quickly, like I had previously suspected.Smitty-48 wrote:Like, I don't know what Mattis is doing behind the scenes, but if he was doing this, the first I would know, is when it went down, because again, a counterforce, you do not telegraph.
But here's the thing, Mattis just came out today and shot his mouth off about it, so what does that tell you?
Last edited by StCapps on Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:46 pm, edited 2 times in total.
*yip*
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Re: North Korea News
Well, the North Koreans clearly believe that the Americans ain't gonna do shit about it, until it's too late for them to do anything about, hence why the North Koreans are being so damn cocky and belligerent about it.StCapps wrote:That US doesn't have all it's ducks in a row yet, and aren't planning to get them in row that quickly, like I had previously suspected.Smitty-48 wrote:Like, I don't know what Mattis is doing behind the scenes, but if he was doing this, the first I would know, is when it went down, because again, a counterforce, you do not telegraph.
But here's the thing, Mattis just came out today and shot his mouth off about it, so what does that tell you?
If they thought for a second that the Americans were actually going to execute a counterforce before they reach the threshold of thermonuclear ICBM's against the CONUS, they'd be being a hell of a lot more covert, the fact that they are coming right out and bitch slapping the Americans across the mouth with it, tells me they are absolutely confident that they have the Americans cowed already.
I don't think they are scared of the Americans at all, they say paper tiger, and they believe it, not only are they going to try to win the Korean War assymetrically by nuclear blackmail escalation dominance, they are supremely confident that they are going to win.
Nec Aspera Terrent