2020 election

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clubgop
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Re: 2020 election

Post by clubgop » Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:14 am

StCapps wrote:
Tue Jun 04, 2019 9:03 pm
clubgop wrote:
Tue Jun 04, 2019 9:00 pm
No he didn't look again. They went back and forth like a mascot race at a ballpark. Your narrative is fucked. Biden is going to blow it like he would a 12 year old.
25-30% or 35-40% is a fairly minor difference dude, that plays in Biden's favor, not against him. Romney easily won with less, Biden can win with more.
actually because of the math, it could. All Dem primaries are proportional so Biden can collect delegates but at that rate he'll never land a killing blow. No winner take alls to seal the deal. If enough of them can stay in and deny someone 50% 9f the delegates they can have some shenanigans.

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 election

Post by StCapps » Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:16 am

clubgop wrote:
Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:14 am
StCapps wrote:
Tue Jun 04, 2019 9:03 pm
clubgop wrote:
Tue Jun 04, 2019 9:00 pm
No he didn't look again. They went back and forth like a mascot race at a ballpark. Your narrative is fucked. Biden is going to blow it like he would a 12 year old.
25-30% or 35-40% is a fairly minor difference dude, that plays in Biden's favor, not against him. Romney easily won with less, Biden can win with more.
actually because of the math, it could. All Dem primaries are proportional so Biden can collect delegates but at that rate he'll never land a killing blow. No winner take alls to seal the deal. If enough of them can stay in and deny someone 50% 9f the delegates they can have some shenanigans.
The shenanigans will play in Biden's favor. Without a winner with 50% of the delegates on the first ballot, the superdelegates come into play.

Superdelegates gonna love them some Joe Biden, if they get a chance to tip the scales in his favor, it's gonna happen.

Basically if a candidate other than Biden doesn't win 50% of the delegates before the first ballot, and Biden hasn't dropped out, then Biden wins. Yet another reason why obvious frontrunner is obvious, especially in a divided field.
Last edited by StCapps on Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:38 am, edited 2 times in total.
*yip*

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clubgop
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Re: 2020 election

Post by clubgop » Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:35 am

StCapps wrote:
Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:16 am
clubgop wrote:
Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:14 am
StCapps wrote:
Tue Jun 04, 2019 9:03 pm
25-30% or 35-40% is a fairly minor difference dude, that plays in Biden's favor, not against him. Romney easily won with less, Biden can win with more.
actually because of the math, it could. All Dem primaries are proportional so Biden can collect delegates but at that rate he'll never land a killing blow. No winner take alls to seal the deal. If enough of them can stay in and deny someone 50% 9f the delegates they can have some shenanigans.
The shenanigans will play in Biden's favor. Without a winner with 50% of the delegates on the first ballot, the superdelegates come into play, and then Biden definitely wins. Superdelegates gonna love them some Joe Biden, if they get a chance to tip the scales in his favor, it's gonna happen.

Basically if a candidate other than Biden doesn't win 50% of the delegates before the first ballot, and Biden hasn't dropped out, then Biden wins. Yet another reason why obvious frontrunner is obvious, especially in a divided field.
Wouldn't be so sure about that. Second ballot is chaos pledged delegates can switch. You have the most rabid, liberal members there, who knows how things shake out. This party gave us Hill dog with all that interminable nonsense for her, you attribute to Biden, I pray they are that stupid.

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StCapps
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Re: 2020 election

Post by StCapps » Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:40 am

clubgop wrote:
Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:35 am
StCapps wrote:
Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:16 am
clubgop wrote:
Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:14 am


actually because of the math, it could. All Dem primaries are proportional so Biden can collect delegates but at that rate he'll never land a killing blow. No winner take alls to seal the deal. If enough of them can stay in and deny someone 50% 9f the delegates they can have some shenanigans.
The shenanigans will play in Biden's favor. Without a winner with 50% of the delegates on the first ballot, the superdelegates come into play, and then Biden definitely wins. Superdelegates gonna love them some Joe Biden, if they get a chance to tip the scales in his favor, it's gonna happen.

Basically if a candidate other than Biden doesn't win 50% of the delegates before the first ballot, and Biden hasn't dropped out, then Biden wins. Yet another reason why obvious frontrunner is obvious, especially in a divided field.
Wouldn't be so sure about that. Second ballot is chaos pledged delegates can switch. You have the most rabid, liberal members there, who knows how things shake out. This party gave us Hill dog with all that interminable nonsense for her, you attribute to Biden, I pray they are that stupid.
Second ballot is when the superdelegates put Biden over the top, and most of the rabid liberals want someone who can beat Trump above anything else, so they are more likely to flip to Biden just on electability. This is the party that gave you Hilldawg, so that should make it seem even more likely to you that is the party who will give you Biden. Those are the type of candidates the superdelegates love, they don't love the far-lefties of the world, they like centrist neoliberals like Clinton and Biden, be real.

See like, you are trying to make the case that Biden's chances aren't as good as Romney's, but in doing so, you are undermining that case and proving that he's the frontrunner I say he is. It's weird though, the only good reason I can think of why Joe Biden isn't the most likely to win is because he's Joe Biden. If it was someone else in his position with a different name, who didn't have a penchant for fucking himself over every time he ran for POTUS, I wouldn't have any doubt at all that the person in that position would win the nomination given the field running against them.

When the best anti-Biden arguments are this weak, maybe I should actually be more sure of a Biden victory than I am, but he's still the gaffe master, he can always derail himself seemingly out of nowhere, and you can't sleep on his ability to fuck himself over, so I temper that feeling, despite how inferior the Never Biden crowd's arguments against him are.

Biden is the only one who can stop Biden from taking that nomination, there ain't no diamond in the rough to take it from him. This is the weakest field for a party primary that I've ever seen in my lifetime, counting Biden out when that is his competition makes no sense, someone has to beat him, and Bernie is the best they got? Doesn't get any easier than that folks, even Hilldawg cleaned up when that was the best alternative, the field is softer than baby shit.
*yip*

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C-Mag
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Re: 2020 election

Post by C-Mag » Wed Jun 05, 2019 8:48 am

Hastur wrote:
Wed Jun 05, 2019 1:35 am
Biden will go down in flames early. He is a gaffe machine and now he has the "creepy uncle Joe" image to tangle with as well.

Hillary will be "persuaded" to run again. She will "reluctantly" agree to try to "save the nation".
I would not discount this. As much as I want her gone forever, it's possible.
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Speaker to Animals
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Re: 2020 election

Post by Speaker to Animals » Wed Jun 05, 2019 10:25 am




Can you imagine..

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Fife
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Re: 2020 election

Post by Fife » Wed Jun 05, 2019 10:54 am

Mark and take note of the treatment Tulsi is about to receive.

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clubgop
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Re: 2020 election

Post by clubgop » Wed Jun 05, 2019 4:14 pm

C-Mag wrote:
Wed Jun 05, 2019 8:48 am
Hastur wrote:
Wed Jun 05, 2019 1:35 am
Biden will go down in flames early. He is a gaffe machine and now he has the "creepy uncle Joe" image to tangle with as well.

Hillary will be "persuaded" to run again. She will "reluctantly" agree to try to "save the nation".
I would not discount this. As much as I want her gone forever, it's possible.

Will cappy shill for hill then? Seriously though my shit will be diamonds of that happens. We get to trash Clinton one more time. The Clintons are like Democrat herpes.

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pineapplemike
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Re: 2020 election

Post by pineapplemike » Thu Jun 06, 2019 4:45 pm

surely this timeline deserves a 2016 rematch

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clubgop
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Re: 2020 election

Post by clubgop » Thu Jun 06, 2019 10:51 pm

pineapplemike wrote:
Thu Jun 06, 2019 4:45 pm
surely this timeline deserves a 2016 rematch
no way it goes that far. A rematch is the dumbest shit possible. The polling on rematches is clear the loser keeps on losing. It sends a message of listen up dummies how about you get it right this time. Even if the other dude is a disaster people will find a way to justify voting for him.