Coronavirus thread

Zlaxer
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by Zlaxer » Fri May 22, 2020 10:50 am

GloryofGreece wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 10:14 am
I know people are sick and tired of hearing about the coronavirus. You have a front row seat though to watch one of the biggest events in American history. This is going to kill more Americans than WW1 and maybe even more than the Spanish Flu. I call that a pretty big deal.

I will be surprised if we loose 200k before end of year. Not even close to Spanish Flu as of the current trajectory.

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GloryofGreece
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by GloryofGreece » Fri May 22, 2020 11:01 am

Zlaxer wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 10:50 am
GloryofGreece wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 10:14 am
I know people are sick and tired of hearing about the coronavirus. You have a front row seat though to watch one of the biggest events in American history. This is going to kill more Americans than WW1 and maybe even more than the Spanish Flu. I call that a pretty big deal.

I will be surprised if we loose 200k before end of year. Not even close to Spanish Flu as of the current trajectory.
Year to year would be more like March 2020 to March 2021. We will have lost at least 300K by next March. Then how many for 2021? Yea it will likely be comparable.
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Zlaxer
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by Zlaxer » Fri May 22, 2020 11:24 am

GloryofGreece wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 11:01 am
Zlaxer wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 10:50 am
GloryofGreece wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 10:14 am
I know people are sick and tired of hearing about the coronavirus. You have a front row seat though to watch one of the biggest events in American history. This is going to kill more Americans than WW1 and maybe even more than the Spanish Flu. I call that a pretty big deal.

I will be surprised if we loose 200k before end of year. Not even close to Spanish Flu as of the current trajectory.
Year to year would be more like March 2020 to March 2021. We will have lost at least 300K by next March. Then how many for 2021? Yea it will likely be comparable.


How many years did Spanish flu last?

300K in 1 year is not a crisis - flu kills 290k-650k / year.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.health ... 3famp=true

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GloryofGreece
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by GloryofGreece » Fri May 22, 2020 12:06 pm

Zlaxer wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 11:24 am
GloryofGreece wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 11:01 am
Zlaxer wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 10:50 am



I will be surprised if we loose 200k before end of year. Not even close to Spanish Flu as of the current trajectory.
Year to year would be more like March 2020 to March 2021. We will have lost at least 300K by next March. Then how many for 2021? Yea it will likely be comparable.


How many years did Spanish flu last?

300K in 1 year is not a crisis - flu kills 290k-650k / year.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.health ... 3famp=true
Flus don't kill 300k Americans a year . No not at all usually no. Spanish flu lasted two years .
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DBTrek
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by DBTrek » Fri May 22, 2020 12:32 pm

GloryofGreece wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 10:14 am
I know people are sick and tired of hearing about the coronavirus. You have a front row seat though to watch one of the biggest events in American history. This is going to kill more Americans than WW1 and maybe even more than the Spanish Flu. I call that a pretty big deal.
If you selectively ignore the US population in 1914 vs the population in 2020 I guess.
But that would be kinda silly.
"Hey varmints, don't mess with a guy that's riding a buffalo"

Zlaxer
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by Zlaxer » Fri May 22, 2020 12:32 pm

GloryofGreece wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 12:06 pm
Zlaxer wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 11:24 am
GloryofGreece wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 11:01 am


Year to year would be more like March 2020 to March 2021. We will have lost at least 300K by next March. Then how many for 2021? Yea it will likely be comparable.


How many years did Spanish flu last?

300K in 1 year is not a crisis - flu kills 290k-650k / year.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.health ... 3famp=true
Flus don't kill 300k Americans a year . No not at all usually no. Spanish flu lasted two years .
Sorry - those were wold wide numbers from WHO.

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BjornP
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by BjornP » Fri May 22, 2020 1:13 pm

Regular flu killed 80K Americans in winter 2017 - which was supposedly a very high death count for the flu. More recent numbers I've googled seem to be in the 25K to 75K range. 97.1K Americans have been registered as having died from COVID-19, so far (looking at the list on RealClearPolitics). Spanish Flu, in 1918 alone, may have claimed as many as 675K US lives (US population at the time was 105 mil).

So, yeah, it's worse than the regular flu, but comparing it to the Spanish Flu is also hyperbole. Sure, you can speculate that it might mutate into something more lethal, but it's more likely that it will mutate into something less lethal. No biological advantage in killing one's host, after all.
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GloryofGreece
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by GloryofGreece » Fri May 22, 2020 1:23 pm

BjornP wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 1:13 pm
Regular flu killed 80K Americans in winter 2017 - which was supposedly a very high death count for the flu. More recent numbers I've googled seem to be in the 25K to 75K range. 97.1K Americans have been registered as having died from COVID-19, so far (looking at the list on RealClearPolitics). Spanish Flu, in 1918 alone, may have claimed as many as 675K US lives (US population at the time was 105 mil).

So, yeah, it's worse than the regular flu, but comparing it to the Spanish Flu is also hyperbole. Sure, you can speculate that it might mutate into something more lethal, but it's more likely that it will mutate into something less lethal. No biological advantage in killing one's host, after all.
Only hyperbole if at the end of March of 2021 we have much less than 300k dead . We won't .
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DBTrek
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by DBTrek » Fri May 22, 2020 1:50 pm

GloryofGreece wrote:
Fri May 22, 2020 1:23 pm

Only hyperbole if at the end of March of 2021 we have much less than 300k dead . We won't .
Certainly not if Democrats have any say in the matter.

Divided by COVID-19: Democratic U.S. areas hit three times as hard as Republican ones

https://kelo.com/news/articles/2020/may ... s/1020709/
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GloryofGreece
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Re: Coronavirus thread

Post by GloryofGreece » Fri May 22, 2020 1:58 pm

I don't care about the political parties or our overlords for they care nothing of me. This isn't just some bad flu. If I'm wrong in two years I'll admit it . I defend myself and my health more than the guberment ever did or will. Onward .
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