Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

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SilverEagle
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by SilverEagle » Sat Oct 22, 2022 4:49 pm

SuburbanFarmer wrote:
Fri Oct 21, 2022 11:58 am
PartyOf5 wrote:
Fri Oct 21, 2022 8:00 am
Something just hit me. What is the combination of double digit inflation (no way it's as low as the government reported 8%) and rapidly rising mortgage rates (now over 7%) doing to those with adjustable rate mortgages?
They’ll be wiped out just like 2008.

But nobody has bought ARMs since 2008 either.
Exactly and thank God!
There is a time for good men to do bad things.

For fuck sake, 1984 is NOT an instruction manual!

:character-bowser: __________ :character-mario: :character-luigi:

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Martin Hash
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Joined: Wed Jan 20, 2010 2:02 pm

Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by Martin Hash » Sat Oct 22, 2022 5:32 pm

:mrgreen:
SilverEagle wrote:
Sat Oct 22, 2022 4:49 pm
SuburbanFarmer wrote:
Fri Oct 21, 2022 11:58 am
PartyOf5 wrote:
Fri Oct 21, 2022 8:00 am
Something just hit me. What is the combination of double digit inflation (no way it's as low as the government reported 8%) and rapidly rising mortgage rates (now over 7%) doing to those with adjustable rate mortgages?
They’ll be wiped out just like 2008.

But nobody has bought ARMs since 2008 either.
Exactly and thank God!
10% of all mortgages are ARMs. That alone will crash the market, and there’s a bunch more with 5-year ReFi’s.
Shamedia, Shamdemic, Shamucation, Shamlection, Shamconomy & Shamate Change

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SilverEagle
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by SilverEagle » Sun Oct 23, 2022 3:05 am

Martin Hash wrote:
Sat Oct 22, 2022 5:32 pm
:mrgreen:
SilverEagle wrote:
Sat Oct 22, 2022 4:49 pm
SuburbanFarmer wrote:
Fri Oct 21, 2022 11:58 am


They’ll be wiped out just like 2008.

But nobody has bought ARMs since 2008 either.
Exactly and thank God!
10% of all mortgages are ARMs. That alone will crash the market, and there’s a bunch more with 5-year ReFi’s.
It’s not that high and no where near the level of pre 2008 levels. Just the big bump in interest rates dropping purchasing demand is more than enough to busty the housing bubble.
There is a time for good men to do bad things.

For fuck sake, 1984 is NOT an instruction manual!

:character-bowser: __________ :character-mario: :character-luigi:

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The Conservative
Posts: 14719
Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 9:43 am

Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by The Conservative » Sun Oct 23, 2022 5:53 am

SilverEagle wrote:
Sun Oct 23, 2022 3:05 am
Martin Hash wrote:
Sat Oct 22, 2022 5:32 pm
:mrgreen:
SilverEagle wrote:
Sat Oct 22, 2022 4:49 pm

Exactly and thank God!
10% of all mortgages are ARMs. That alone will crash the market, and there’s a bunch more with 5-year ReFi’s.
It’s not that high and no where near the level of pre 2008 levels. Just the big bump in interest rates dropping purchasing demand is more than enough to busty the housing bubble.
It's 10%

https://themortgagereports.com/93472/ad ... rends-2022
#NotOneRedCent

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TheOneX
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by TheOneX » Sun Oct 23, 2022 8:31 am

ARMs will go up as interest rates go up. It doesn't make sense to get an ARM when interest rates are low, like they have been since 2008. It makes much more sense when they are high, like they are trending now. That 10% number is from mid-2022 when interest rates were already going up. As they get higher more people will get ARMs as they are more likely to benefit in the future when interest rates drop again.

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C-Mag
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by C-Mag » Sun Oct 23, 2022 11:35 am

Globohomo's working on monopolizing Grocery Stores
The Albertsons and Kroger Merger Faces Legislative Scrutiny as European Company Ahold Assembles Competitive Bid
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/bl ... itive-bid/

If you are not sure how you feel about this, here is the only information you need.
a $24.6 billion merger deal between Kroger and Albertsons supermarkets. The majority stockholders in both companies are institutional investment groups, Blackrock, Vanguard and Cerberus.
PLATA O PLOMO


Image


Don't fear authority, Fear Obedience

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Martin Hash
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by Martin Hash » Sun Oct 23, 2022 12:13 pm

C-Mag wrote:
Sun Oct 23, 2022 11:35 am
If you are not sure how you feel about this, here is the only information you need.
Blackrock, Vanguard and Cerberus.
The ESG enforcers (WEFers)
Shamedia, Shamdemic, Shamucation, Shamlection, Shamconomy & Shamate Change

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SilverEagle
Posts: 2365
Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 11:07 am

Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by SilverEagle » Sun Oct 23, 2022 8:01 pm

The Conservative wrote:
Sun Oct 23, 2022 5:53 am
SilverEagle wrote:
Sun Oct 23, 2022 3:05 am
Martin Hash wrote:
Sat Oct 22, 2022 5:32 pm
:mrgreen:

10% of all mortgages are ARMs. That alone will crash the market, and there’s a bunch more with 5-year ReFi’s.
It’s not that high and no where near the level of pre 2008 levels. Just the big bump in interest rates dropping purchasing demand is more than enough to busty the housing bubble.
It's 10%

https://themortgagereports.com/93472/ad ... rends-2022
New, not existing. ARMs that were closed a year ago and before would be the ones in real danger.
There is a time for good men to do bad things.

For fuck sake, 1984 is NOT an instruction manual!

:character-bowser: __________ :character-mario: :character-luigi:

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SilverEagle
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Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 11:07 am

Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by SilverEagle » Sun Oct 23, 2022 8:01 pm

TheOneX wrote:
Sun Oct 23, 2022 8:31 am
ARMs will go up as interest rates go up. It doesn't make sense to get an ARM when interest rates are low, like they have been since 2008. It makes much more sense when they are high, like they are trending now. That 10% number is from mid-2022 when interest rates were already going up. As they get higher more people will get ARMs as they are more likely to benefit in the future when interest rates drop again.
Exactly! Thanks!
There is a time for good men to do bad things.

For fuck sake, 1984 is NOT an instruction manual!

:character-bowser: __________ :character-mario: :character-luigi:

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The Conservative
Posts: 14719
Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 9:43 am

Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by The Conservative » Sun Oct 23, 2022 8:44 pm

SilverEagle wrote:
Sun Oct 23, 2022 8:01 pm
The Conservative wrote:
Sun Oct 23, 2022 5:53 am
SilverEagle wrote:
Sun Oct 23, 2022 3:05 am


It’s not that high and no where near the level of pre 2008 levels. Just the big bump in interest rates dropping purchasing demand is more than enough to busty the housing bubble.
It's 10%

https://themortgagereports.com/93472/ad ... rends-2022
New, not existing. ARMs that were closed a year ago and before would be the ones in real danger.
Even if it's 5% of 2 Trillion dollars total, it doesn't matter, it will hurt.
#NotOneRedCent