Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

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C-Mag
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by C-Mag » Thu Apr 14, 2022 2:58 pm

Coincidentally, one of the largest produce packaging plants in California burned down today.
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The Conservative
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by The Conservative » Thu Apr 14, 2022 3:29 pm

C-Mag wrote:
Thu Apr 14, 2022 2:58 pm
Coincidentally, one of the largest produce packaging plants in California burned down today.
"Burned down"...
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C-Mag
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by C-Mag » Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:07 pm

Fannie Mae
We expect this to unfold in part via higher mortgage rates that lead to slower housing activity. We have downgraded our total home sales forecast for 2022 to a decline of 7.4 percent (previously a 4.1 percent decline) followed by a decrease of 9.7 percent in 2023 (previously a 2.7 percent decline)


I don't know what the drop % of home sales were in 2008 and 2009, but it would be a good reference
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The Conservative
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by The Conservative » Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:14 pm

C-Mag wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:07 pm
Fannie Mae
We expect this to unfold in part via higher mortgage rates that lead to slower housing activity. We have downgraded our total home sales forecast for 2022 to a decline of 7.4 percent (previously a 4.1 percent decline) followed by a decrease of 9.7 percent in 2023 (previously a 2.7 percent decline)


I don't know what the drop % of home sales were in 2008 and 2009, but it would be a good reference
About 9.5%
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C-Mag
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by C-Mag » Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:36 pm

The Conservative wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:14 pm
C-Mag wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:07 pm
Fannie Mae
We expect this to unfold in part via higher mortgage rates that lead to slower housing activity. We have downgraded our total home sales forecast for 2022 to a decline of 7.4 percent (previously a 4.1 percent decline) followed by a decrease of 9.7 percent in 2023 (previously a 2.7 percent decline)


I don't know what the drop % of home sales were in 2008 and 2009, but it would be a good reference
About 9.5%
OK, so it's 2008 all over again, with the added bonus of 17% Inflation and massive supply chain and food shortages :dance:

Did SHTF yet ?
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Martin Hash
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by Martin Hash » Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:39 pm

Until my son sees it, the S did not HTF.
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The Conservative
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by The Conservative » Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:41 pm

C-Mag wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:36 pm
The Conservative wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:14 pm
C-Mag wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:07 pm
Fannie Mae
We expect this to unfold in part via higher mortgage rates that lead to slower housing activity. We have downgraded our total home sales forecast for 2022 to a decline of 7.4 percent (previously a 4.1 percent decline) followed by a decrease of 9.7 percent in 2023 (previously a 2.7 percent decline)


I don't know what the drop % of home sales were in 2008 and 2009, but it would be a good reference
About 9.5%
OK, so it's 2008 all over again, with the added bonus of 17% Inflation and massive supply chain and food shortages :dance:

Did SHTF yet ?
Hasn't gone down hill enough yet, we are technically better prepared this time around... which surprises me.
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SuburbanFarmer
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by SuburbanFarmer » Tue Apr 19, 2022 4:30 pm

2008 was a financial problem that cost people jobs. This time we have a currency problem that will cost everything.
SJWs are a natural consequence of corporatism.

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The Conservative
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by The Conservative » Tue Apr 19, 2022 4:36 pm

SuburbanFarmer wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 4:30 pm
2008 was a financial problem that cost people jobs. This time we have a currency problem that will cost everything.
Just hold tight, you've seen nothing yet.
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GloryofGreece
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Re: Supply Chain Shortages and Inflation

Post by GloryofGreece » Wed Apr 20, 2022 6:12 am

C-Mag wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:36 pm
The Conservative wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:14 pm
C-Mag wrote:
Tue Apr 19, 2022 3:07 pm
Fannie Mae
We expect this to unfold in part via higher mortgage rates that lead to slower housing activity. We have downgraded our total home sales forecast for 2022 to a decline of 7.4 percent (previously a 4.1 percent decline) followed by a decrease of 9.7 percent in 2023 (previously a 2.7 percent decline)


I don't know what the drop % of home sales were in 2008 and 2009, but it would be a good reference
About 9.5%
OK, so it's 2008 all over again, with the added bonus of 17% Inflation and massive supply chain and food shortages :dance:

Did SHTF yet ?
I'm not going to squabble too much with the 17% reference other than to say I don't think it's quite that high. Maybe 12%ish. I don't know how accurate shadow stats are tbh but we are probably certainly above the quoted 8% or whatever is being officially declared.

I have a fairly random but tangentially financial question for you or anyone else that might know... Can you get a loan for your "downpayment" on a house mortgage? You know credit for the credit essentially lol. I'm desperate to move to the countryside.

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