From Wakapadia:Zlaxer wrote:How are electoral votes calculated now?adwinistrator wrote:Thought experiment:
There is a major natural disaster in one of the 10 highest electoral vote states. Half of that state's population moves to other states. Should the electoral votes be rebalanced? Why, or why not.
So, the electoral votes are based on how many representatives a state has, if there was a major migration causing event, the electoral votes would not change for up to 2 presidential elections.A state's number of electors equals the number of representatives plus two electors for both senators the state has in the United States Congress. The number of representatives is based on the respective populations, determined every 10 years by the United States Census. Each representative represents on average 711,000 persons.
Under the Twenty-third Amendment, Washington, D.C. is allocated as many electors as it would have if it were a state, but no more electors than the least populous state. The least populous state (which is Wyoming according to the 2010 Census) has three electors; thus, D.C. cannot have more than three electors. Even if D.C. were a state, its population would entitle it to only three electors; based on its population per electoral vote, D.C. has the second highest per-capita Electoral College representation, after Wyoming.
Currently, there is a total of 538 electors, there being 435 representatives and 100 senators, plus the three electors allocated to Washington, D.C. The six states with the most electors are California (55), Texas (38), New York (29), Florida (29), Illinois (20) and Pennsylvania (20). The seven smallest states by population – Alaska, Delaware, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Vermont, and Wyoming – have three electors each. This is because each of these states is entitled to one representative and two senators.
The whole reason this is so screwed up now, is because we've already broken the way the House of Representatives seats are proportioned.
-U.S. Constitution, Article I, section 2, clause 3Representatives and direct Taxes shall be apportioned among the several States which may be included within this Union, according to their respective Numbers, which shall be determined by adding to the whole Number of free Persons, including those bound to Service for a Term of Years, and excluding Indians not taxed, three fifths of all other Persons. The actual Enumeration shall be made within three Years after the first Meeting of the Congress of the United States, and within every subsequent Term of ten Years, in such Manner as they shall by Law direct. The Number of Representatives shall not exceed one for every thirty Thousand, but each State shall have at Least one Representative…
Now, this system might make sense, we'll just add representatives for the states with population growth... But, what if we run out of room?
Wait a minute... So you just lock the number of reps, hence locking the number of electoral votes, and then reapportion everything using "formulas" every ten years, based on the census?Congress has capped the number of Representatives at 435 since the Apportionment Act of 1911 except for a temporary increase to 437 during the admission of Hawaii and Alaska as states in 1959. As a result, over the last century, congressional districts have more than tripled in size—from an average of roughly 212,000 inhabitants after the 1910 Census to about 710,000 inhabitants following the 2010 Census. Each state’s congressional delegation changes as a result of population shifts, with states either gaining or losing seats based on population. While the number of House Members for each state is determined according to a statistical formula in federal law, each state is then responsible for designing the shape of its districts so long as it accords with various provisions of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, which seeks to protect racial minorities’ voting and representation rights.
Well I'm sure the formulas probably do a good job at leveling everything out, right? Right?