pineapplemike wrote: ↑Wed Feb 26, 2020 8:31 am
StCapps wrote: ↑Wed Feb 26, 2020 6:56 am
Like I said, that was after Bernie's heart attack.
survey says...
Tue Aug 06, 2019 1:02 pm
Bernie is a lightweight who refuses to take the kid gloves off, he isn't winning shit
Bernie Sanders had a heart attack.
Sat October 5, 2019
At the time of August, 6, 2019, I still had Bernie as second most likely to win, ahead of Elizabeth Warren. A month after the heart attack I had him back to the second most likely to win. Never had Bernie below a 20% chance of victory after November, until December or January, and then he quickly bounced back from that leading into Iowa and especially post Iowa, grabbing frontrunner status after Biden started tanking in New Hampshire and Bernie started gaining a big lead in Nevada.
Anyone thinking they have proof that I had Bernie lower than third at any point in time, are just plain wrong, they are attempting to read my mind based on statements that have nothing to do with his ranking among the Democrat candidates. If you quote any post where I state which Democrats are most likely to win the nomination since 2019, there is not a single instance of me ranking Sanders lower than third on that list. The idea that I had ever ranked Bernie's chances of winning the nomination at 0% before October 2019 or after December 2019 is false.
The truth is I more accurately predicted what could lead to a Bernie winning the nomination better than even the biggest Bernie nuthugger in this thread ever did. All the Bernie nuthuggers decided they didn't need to adequately clarify why they thought he would win, no matter how much I prompted them to do so. Now StA wantx to take credit for predicting it just because he was more confident that Bernie was going to win than I was, even though I nailed pretty much all the details that would lead to Bernie to winning better than he ever has, even to this day.
Why you predict something is more important than what you predict. I'd rather get the pick wrong but the get rationale for the how the primary could play out right, than get the pick right and get the rationale for the how the primary could play out wrong. StA on the other hand wants to get the pick right and doesn't care if the reason for the pick is totally wrong or he got a bunch of other picks wrong that were derived from the same logic he used to coincidentally pick right on the one occasion.