2020 General Election Predictions

[Zlaxer]

Senate is about to fall to progressives - I predict a VAT within 2 years on top of current state sales tax - I also predict mandatory gun buy backs and national prohibition of mags over 3 rounds. I also predict outlawing of home schooling and targeting of catholic and charter schools.

Churches will also loose tax exempt status - which will finish them off.

A wealth tax is coming - it will start at 2mil+ but slowly creep down. Inheritance tax coming too which will fuck small farmers in the ass.

Say goodby to state zoning laws also.

Surban schools will loose most fed funding thus driving up property taxes.

National mask mandate and curfew punishable by jail or large fines...

New corporate tax will force more off shoring our onshore automation.

Green New deal is going to crush industry...But you’ll see certain ones get “exemptions” for campaign contributions.

Night time in Amerika...

[StCapps]

The GOP have the senate

The Democrats will not pack the court

even if the Dems had the senate

the Dems still wouldn't pack the court

y'all need to stop pretending the far left are ten feet tall

and the sky is falling because of it

silly SIFCLFs

[The Conservative]

The GOP have the senate

The Democrats will not pack the court

even if the Dems had the senate

the Dems still wouldn't pack the court

y'all need to stop pretending the far left are ten feet tall

and the sky is falling because of it

silly SIFCLFs

Bigger they are the harder they fall. They may be 10 feet, but knocking them down when they think they have an advantage will be that much sweeter.

[StCapps]

The GOP have the senate

The Democrats will not pack the court

even if the Dems had the senate

the Dems still wouldn't pack the court

y'all need to stop pretending the far left are ten feet tall

and the sky is falling because of it

silly SIFCLFs

Bigger they are the harder they fall. They may be 10 feet, but knocking them down when they think they have an advantage will be that much sweeter.

they are feckless losers who will hang themselves, and get nothing of importance accomplished

being scared of that is just paranoia run rampant, simmer down SIFCLFs

[Zlaxer]

The GOP have the senate

The Democrats will not pack the court

even if the Dems had the senate

the Dems still wouldn't pack the court

y'all need to stop pretending the far left are ten feet tall

and the sky is falling because of it

silly SIFCLFs

Bigger they are the harder they fall. They may be 10 feet, but knocking them down when they think they have an advantage will be that much sweeter.

they are feckless losers who will hang themselves, and get nothing of importance accomplished

being scared of that is just paranoia run rampant, simmer down SIFCLFs

You know how most wars are lost? Overplaying ones hand. Do not underestimate the far left - they’ve succeeded in other countries bc people thought they were harmless...

[Xenophon]

Bigger they are the harder they fall. They may be 10 feet, but knocking them down when they think they have an advantage will be that much sweeter.

they are feckless losers who will hang themselves, and get nothing of importance accomplished

being scared of that is just paranoia run rampant, simmer down SIFCLFs

You know how most wars are lost? Overplaying ones hand. Do not underestimate the far left - they’ve succeeded in other countries bc people thought they were harmless...

The far left hold none of the levers of power. Biden, even Kamala aren't revolutionary communists. My prediction is that socialists will be purged from the party, until the next election, provided Trump's litigation fails, of course.

[SuburbanFarmer]

And there we go. That’s what it’s been about all along. Banksters Uber Alles.

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/jan ... -secretary

[StCapps]

Bigger they are the harder they fall. They may be 10 feet, but knocking them down when they think they have an advantage will be that much sweeter.

they are feckless losers who will hang themselves, and get nothing of importance accomplished

being scared of that is just paranoia run rampant, simmer down SIFCLFs

You know how most wars are lost? Overplaying ones hand. Do not underestimate the far left - they’ve succeeded in other countries bc people thought they were harmless...

do not over-estimate the far left, doing so empowers them more than not pretending they are ten feet tall

[StCapps]

the far left has no juice with the American electorate

they are an anchor around the necks of whichever political party they support

which is why they keep driving more hispanics and black voters to vote Republican the more the Democrats embrace them

[Xenophon]

BBC Article from 9/2/2016: Vote rigging: How to spot the tell-tale signs

Too many voters
Watch the turnout figures ‒ they can be a big giveaway.

You never get a 98% or 99% turnout in an honest election. You just don't.

Voting is compulsory in Gabon, but it is not enforced; even in Australia where it is enforced, where you can vote by post or online and can be fined for not voting, turnout only reaches 90-95%.

The main reason that a full turnout is practically impossible is that electoral registers, even if they are recently compiled, can rarely be 100% up-to-date.

Even if no-one gets sick or has to travel, people still die. And when a register is updated, new voters are keen to add themselves to the list.

No-one, however, has any great enthusiasm for removing the names of those who have died, and over time the number of these non-existent voters increases.

I once reported on an election in the Niger Delta where some areas had a turnout of more than 120%.

"They're very healthy people round here, and very civic-minded," a local official assured me.

But a turnout of more than 100%, in an area or an individual polling station, is a major red flag and a reason to cancel the result and re-run the election.

A high turnout in specific areas

Even where the turnout is within the bounds of possibility, if the figure is wildly different from the turnout elsewhere, it serves as a warning.

Why would one particular area, or one individual polling station, have a 90% turnout, while most other areas register less than 70%?

Something strange is almost certainly going on, especially if the high turnout is an area which favours one particular candidate or party over another.

Large numbers of invalid votes

There are other, more subtle ways that riggers can increase votes ‒ or reduce them.

Keep an eye on the number of votes excluded as invalid. Even in countries with low literacy rates this isn't normally above 5%.

High numbers of invalid votes can mean that officials are disqualifying ballots for the slightest imperfection, even when the voter's intention is perfectly clear, in an attempt to depress votes for their opponents.

More votes than ballot papers issued

When the polls close, and before they open the boxes, election officials normally have to go through a complicated and rather tedious process known as the reconciliation of ballots.

After they have counted how many ballot papers they received in the morning, they then need to count how many are left, and how many ‒ if any ‒ were torn or otherwise spoiled and had to be put aside.

The result will tell them how many papers should be in the box. It should also match the number of names checked off on the register.

The first task when the box is opened is to count the number of papers inside, this is done prior to counting the votes for the different candidates.

If there is a discrepancy, something is wrong. And if there are more papers in the boxes than were issued by the polling staff, it is highly likely that someone has been doing some "stuffing".

That's a good enough reason to cancel the result and arrange a re-run

Results that don't match

Mobile phones have made elections much more transparent.

It is now standard practice to allow party agents, observers and sometimes even voters to watch the counting process and take photographs of the results sheet with their phones.

They then have proof of the genuine results from their area ‒ just in case the ones announced later by the electoral commission don't match.

It has clearly taken crooked politicians some time to catch up with the fact that people will now know if they change the results.

In south-eastern Togo, local party representatives told me that they witnessed the count in 2005 and endorsed the result; they saw the official in charge leave for the capital, taking the signed results sheet with him. Yet the results announced later on the radio were different.

The same thing happened in Katanga Province of the Democratic Republic of Congo in 2011. The results announced on the radio were not the same as those international observers saw posted outside the polling stations.

But this transparency only works if the official announcement of results includes figures for individual counting centres ‒ and this has become an issue in the current Gabonese election.

Delay in announcing results
Finally something that is not necessarily a sign of rigging, but it is often assumed to be so.

Election commissions, particularly in Africa, can appear to take an inordinately long time to publish official results.

This is not helped by local observer networks and political parties who, tallying up the results sent in by their agents on mobile phones, have a good idea of the result long before the more cumbersome official process is completed.

But the official process takes time, especially in countries with poor communications, and the introduction of modern electronic transmission systems has not necessarily helped.

Where these systems have proved too demanding for the context, as in Malawi last year, they can actually increase delays as staff struggle to make the technology work.

In that particular case the results eventually had to be transmitted the old fashioned way; placed in envelopes and driven down to the capital under police escort.

By then, allegations of rigging were flying.

Delay is certainly dangerous, fuelling rumours of results being "massaged" before release and increasing tensions, but this is not incontrovertible proof of rigging.