2020 General Election Predictions
-
- Posts: 18716
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 7:14 am
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
I predict that there will be some red faces around here in about 4 days.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
-
- Posts: 314
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 6:18 pm
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
Meanwhile, in Texas...
-
- Posts: 4110
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 9:48 am
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
They set them up like they are bowling pins. Bowl em over, Kamala! Rumors are true Texas is going blue!
-
- Posts: 314
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 6:18 pm
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
Blacks and Latino votes are either sitting this one out or are going Republican much more than expected. Neither is a good sign for Biden. He absolutely cannot win Florida if he loses Miami.We’ve got to stop the bleeding': Democrats sound alarm in Miami
Party officials in Florida’s most populous county are sweating weak early voting turnout among several key groups.
MIAMI — Democrats are sounding the alarm about weak voter turnout rates in Florida’s biggest county, Miami-Dade, where a strong Republican showing is endangering Joe Biden’s chances in the nation’s biggest swing state.
-
- Posts: 26035
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 6:23 pm
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
More like red ass when Trump flys over to England and spanks the queen.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Fri Oct 30, 2020 7:35 pmI predict that there will be some red faces around here in about 4 days.
-
- Posts: 16879
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 10:59 am
- Location: Hamilton, Ontario
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
Biden shouldn't even by trying to win Florida at this pointAverageJoe wrote: ↑Fri Oct 30, 2020 9:03 pmBlacks and Latino votes are either sitting this one out or are going Republican much more than expected. Neither is a good sign for Biden. He absolutely cannot win Florida if he loses Miami.We’ve got to stop the bleeding': Democrats sound alarm in Miami
Party officials in Florida’s most populous county are sweating weak early voting turnout among several key groups.
MIAMI — Democrats are sounding the alarm about weak voter turnout rates in Florida’s biggest county, Miami-Dade, where a strong Republican showing is endangering Joe Biden’s chances in the nation’s biggest swing state.
Democrats are supposed to be running up the score in Florida mail in and early voting, if they were going to win the state, yet they are only up 17,000 inferred votes, according the Democrats own early voting numbers, and will likely be behind on election day, when Republicans are more than twice as likely to show up than Democrats
it's not gonna happen, Trump is gonna win easily, probably by at least 3 points
Last edited by StCapps on Sat Oct 31, 2020 2:07 am, edited 4 times in total.
*yip*
-
- Posts: 16879
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 10:59 am
- Location: Hamilton, Ontario
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
Trump has a 260 floor that includes
Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina (aka the fake swing states)
Biden has a 278 ceiling that includes
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire (aka the real swing states)
so the presidential election basically comes down to this.....
if Trump wins one of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania, or he flips Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC
if Biden sweeps all four of those rust belt states, and doesn't lose Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC
this election is extremely likely to come down to a rust belt tipping point state
stick that in your electoral maps and smoke it
a Biden win is not impossible, but it's not that likely either
Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina (aka the fake swing states)
Biden has a 278 ceiling that includes
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire (aka the real swing states)
so the presidential election basically comes down to this.....
if Trump wins one of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania, or he flips Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC
if Biden sweeps all four of those rust belt states, and doesn't lose Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC
this election is extremely likely to come down to a rust belt tipping point state
stick that in your electoral maps and smoke it
a Biden win is not impossible, but it's not that likely either
*yip*
-
- Posts: 18716
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 7:14 am
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
You ok mate?TheReal_ND wrote: ↑Fri Oct 30, 2020 9:09 pmMore like red ass when Trump flys over to England and spanks the queen.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Fri Oct 30, 2020 7:35 pmI predict that there will be some red faces around here in about 4 days.
Not seen you around much recently.
For legal reasons, we are not threatening to destroy U.S. government property with our glorious medieval siege engine. But if we wanted to, we could. But we won’t. But we could.
-
- Posts: 18675
- Joined: Wed Jan 20, 2010 2:02 pm
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
That’s the best, most succinct, analysis I’ve seen, and explains why Biden is in Minnesota.StCapps wrote: ↑Sat Oct 31, 2020 1:18 amTrump has a 260 floor that includes
Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina (aka the fake swing states)
Biden has a 278 ceiling that includes
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada and New Hampshire (aka the real swing states)
so the presidential election basically comes down to this.....
if Trump wins one of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania, or he flips Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC
if Biden sweeps all four of those rust belt states, and doesn't lose Nevada and New Hampshire, then he wins the EC
this election is extremely likely to come down to a rust belt tipping point state
stick that in your electoral maps and smoke it
a Biden win is not impossible, but it's not that likely either
Shamedia, Shamdemic, Shamucation, Shamlection, Shamconomy & Shamate Change
-
- Posts: 26035
- Joined: Wed Nov 30, 2016 6:23 pm
Re: 2020 General Election Predictions
Yeah great thx for askingMontegriffo wrote: ↑Sat Oct 31, 2020 3:50 amYou ok mate?TheReal_ND wrote: ↑Fri Oct 30, 2020 9:09 pmMore like red ass when Trump flys over to England and spanks the queen.Montegriffo wrote: ↑Fri Oct 30, 2020 7:35 pmI predict that there will be some red faces around here in about 4 days.
Not seen you around much recently.