2020 General Election Predictions

Ph64
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Ph64 » Wed Oct 21, 2020 2:00 pm

Xenophon wrote:
Wed Oct 21, 2020 6:43 am
Martin Hash wrote:
Wed Oct 21, 2020 6:25 am
Xenophon wrote:
Wed Oct 21, 2020 5:06 am


They'll find a way to blame White Supremacy for everything. You could give them proof that Biden regular sacrifices babies to Moloch, and they'd still blame White Supremacy.
Yes. Have no doubt who the scapegoat will be. Beware male, White, Christians.
Y'all gonna visit my statue when I'm martyred?
If TJ and Lincoln statues are being pulled down, what makes you think yours will survive?
"People don't like to be meddled with. We tell them what to do, what to think, don't run, don't walk. We're in their homes and in their heads and we haven't the right. We're meddlesome."

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C-Mag
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by C-Mag » Wed Oct 21, 2020 3:06 pm

Trump will win Oregon.............. My Bold prediction for the election
In 2016, HRC won the state by 220,000 votes. During the primary this year in May. Biden recieved only 47,000 more votes than DJT. Indicating Trump has really closed the gap................. and this was before 4 months of nightly riots and destruction.
https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_el ... egon,_2020

Alek Skarlatos, who stopped the terrorist attack on the 15:17 to Paris is going to win Oregons 4th District, which includes college towns of Oregon and Oregon State. Those counties went strong for HRC in 16. However, local political experts say, There's a unique downside risk for DeFazio here: the Democratic vote in the 4th CD is extremely dependent on Eugene and Corvallis, home to the University of Oregon (enrollment 23,000) and Oregon State University (28,000) respectively. Oregon votes entirely by mail, but some local observers expect the student vote in both university hubs to be at only half typical strength or less.

As polls have tightened, the GOP-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund just bought time in the district, and national Democratic groups may follow soon. The race moves from the Likely Democrat column to Lean Democrat.




https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/hous ... n-democrat
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SilverEagle
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by SilverEagle » Wed Oct 21, 2020 3:56 pm

C-Mag wrote:
Wed Oct 21, 2020 3:06 pm
Trump will win Oregon.............. My Bold prediction for the election
In 2016, HRC won the state by 220,000 votes. During the primary this year in May. Biden recieved only 47,000 more votes than DJT. Indicating Trump has really closed the gap................. and this was before 4 months of nightly riots and destruction.
https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_el ... egon,_2020

Alek Skarlatos, who stopped the terrorist attack on the 15:17 to Paris is going to win Oregons 4th District, which includes college towns of Oregon and Oregon State. Those counties went strong for HRC in 16. However, local political experts say, There's a unique downside risk for DeFazio here: the Democratic vote in the 4th CD is extremely dependent on Eugene and Corvallis, home to the University of Oregon (enrollment 23,000) and Oregon State University (28,000) respectively. Oregon votes entirely by mail, but some local observers expect the student vote in both university hubs to be at only half typical strength or less.

As polls have tightened, the GOP-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund just bought time in the district, and national Democratic groups may follow soon. The race moves from the Likely Democrat column to Lean Democrat.




https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/hous ... n-democrat
+1 God I hope you’re right.
There is a time for good men to do bad things.

For fuck sake, 1984 is NOT an instruction manual!

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C-Mag
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by C-Mag » Wed Oct 21, 2020 6:31 pm

Bernie Bros for Trump
While the media creams itself over Never Trumpers voting for Biden, an actual newsworthy event goes under the radar. Bernie Bros are taking their anti-establishment votes over to Donald John Trump because they saw how he made life better for them.

Forrest C. Kerr wrote, "From Bernie Bro to Deplorable: This Trump-Hating Bernie Sanders Fan Had a Big Change of Heart."

What attracted him to Bernie was his trade policies. Sanders opposed those trade deals the Uni Party delivered..........................In 2016, 12% of them voted for Trump, according to an analysis by Cooperative Congressional Election Study. All told, 216,000 Bernie voters switched sides in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin







https://donsurber.blogspot.com/2020/10/ ... .html#more
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C-Mag
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by C-Mag » Thu Oct 22, 2020 10:51 am

A little different analysis than you get from the MSM



At 37:30 He is watching Nate Silver at 538.
538 has Trump winning Florida now.
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The Conservative
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by The Conservative » Thu Oct 22, 2020 11:21 am

C-Mag wrote:
Thu Oct 22, 2020 10:51 am
A little different analysis than you get from the MSM



At 37:30 He is watching Nate Silver at 538.
538 has Trump winning Florida now.
The guy needs a new word. ”Bruh” gets old fast.

Although he seems to follow my logic on the points. Trump is going to win, but the toss up states are going to keep Biden in for longer than he should be.
#NotOneRedCent

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SilverEagle
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by SilverEagle » Thu Oct 22, 2020 11:35 am

C-Mag wrote:
Thu Oct 22, 2020 10:51 am
A little different analysis than you get from the MSM



At 37:30 He is watching Nate Silver at 538.
538 has Trump winning Florida now.

I live in Ohio and let me tell you something. There is ZERO chance that will Trump lose Ohio.
There is a time for good men to do bad things.

For fuck sake, 1984 is NOT an instruction manual!

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C-Mag
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by C-Mag » Thu Oct 22, 2020 11:54 am

SilverEagle wrote:
Thu Oct 22, 2020 11:35 am

I live in Ohio and let me tell you something. There is ZERO chance that will Trump lose Ohio.
The enthusiasm for Trump nationwide is YUGE. Biden got nothin.

I see the election going close to where it was in 16. Though I predicted a bigger win for Trump. Conservative, Conservative polling has Trump winning with about 280 votes. Which after all the fraud we are seeing, is probably right.
I just think the big surprise here is going to be Trump will be far enough ahead election night, that its going to be really hard not to call it for Trump. And I think there will be too many votes for Dems to manufacture to steal it.

When I see Nate Silver turning Florida Red, I feel pretty good about things.
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Ph64
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by Ph64 » Thu Oct 22, 2020 12:33 pm

C-Mag wrote:
Thu Oct 22, 2020 11:54 am
SilverEagle wrote:
Thu Oct 22, 2020 11:35 am

I live in Ohio and let me tell you something. There is ZERO chance that will Trump lose Ohio.
The enthusiasm for Trump nationwide is YUGE. Biden got nothin.

I see the election going close to where it was in 16. Though I predicted a bigger win for Trump. Conservative, Conservative polling has Trump winning with about 280 votes. Which after all the fraud we are seeing, is probably right.
I just think the big surprise here is going to be Trump will be far enough ahead election night, that its going to be really hard not to call it for Trump. And I think there will be too many votes for Dems to manufacture to steal it.

When I see Nate Silver turning Florida Red, I feel pretty good about things.
I dunno, when 100% of the dead vote Democratic along with 120% of the live Democrats it could be close. :roll:
"People don't like to be meddled with. We tell them what to do, what to think, don't run, don't walk. We're in their homes and in their heads and we haven't the right. We're meddlesome."

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C-Mag
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Re: 2020 General Election Predictions

Post by C-Mag » Thu Oct 22, 2020 1:32 pm

Ph64 wrote:
Thu Oct 22, 2020 12:33 pm

I dunno, when 100% of the dead vote Democratic along with 120% of the live Democrats it could be close. :roll:
No Doubt.

But when you start looking locally and get away from the MSM National Polling, it's a totally different story.

A Conservative talk radio host could win Al Frankens old seat in Minn-e-Fucking-sota.

In a new WDIO/Survey USA poll, incumbent Democratic Senator Tina Smith leads Republican challenger Jason Lewis by a 43-to-42 percent margin with 13 days until election day.

The statewide pre-election tracking poll of 673 registered Minnesota voters has a margin of error of plus or minus five percent. That places the race between Smith, who was elected to the seat in 2018 to fill the remainder of former Senator Al Franken's term, and Lewis, a conservative radio talk show host, as a toss up.


They've had Minnesota locked up for almost 50 years.

https://www.wdio.com/politics-news/poll ... s/5901760/
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