Russian trolls

Smitty-48
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by Smitty-48 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 5:25 pm

Viktorthepirate wrote:
Smitty-48 wrote:
Viktorthepirate wrote:
Unprovable yes, but everyone knows who did it. Which is exactly what they want.
Not necessarily, could have been a third party attempting to stir up fear of the Russians in the UK, could have been the CIA for all I know.
However I don't recall any Russian traitors asassinated in our shores. Why is that? Is it because we can retaliate better? Is it because it's more difficult to execute the operation.

I'm genuinely curious.
15 minutes notice to launch on warning, don't poke the Eagle with Thunderbolts in Talons Grasped, unless you're prepared to go to the mattresses.
Ha ha, it could be anyone. Absolutely correct.
Well, first of all, target was not killed outright, and 21 others were exposed, but with only minor effects, already released from hospital; that does not actually present like a sophisticated attack utilizing a highly stable and reliable agent such as VX or VR, such as the NK attack on Kim Jong Nam in Kuala Lumpur, so not actually presenting like a state run operation so far.
I don't think the U.K. Is to be trifled with either, if they decide to make a big fuss out of it.
What are they going to do, invoke Article V? Strongly worded letter? Stomp their feet and suck their thumbs? Retaliate against Moscow and incite some real trouble? London has the stomach for that? I think not.
Last edited by Smitty-48 on Tue Mar 13, 2018 5:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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BjornP
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by BjornP » Tue Mar 13, 2018 5:26 pm

DrYouth wrote:Someone posted this in my Facebook feed.

http://act.tv/v/17201/

I have no idea how reliable or unreliable this source is... it seems pretty left wing...

But what is the consensus on the forum on whether Russia has been trying to polarize politics in the US and in Europe.

It seems plausible that they would like to destabilize their competition...

In fact this would be a genius move on their part if you think about it...

Are Russians playing 3D chess with Trump as a pawn?
This seems more plausible to me than Trump playing 2D chess with or without the Russians.
I think the Russian intelligence services have a (marginally) better grasp about what makes Western societies tick than the Soviets did because the whole "must make people believe as we do, and then glorious times for the world will be a reality!" died out. Soviet propaganda was aimed at changing the opinions, winning over, the capitalist-liberal West to a Communist mindset. Russia today doesn't give a shit what you believe, as long as it helps weaken US power and prevent the EU from growing strong enough to pose (what they see as) a geopolitical threat to Russian interests in their so-called "near abroad".

The Russian "troll brigade" is simply the propaganda part of that, in much the same way the Communists infiltrated the "peace movements" in Europe (and the US and Canada?). They aren't polarizing Western societies for its own sake, they do after all need to make deals with other countries, trade agreements, etc. The polarization of the US gives Russia some sympathies on the far right, but the same cannot be said among the American far left, the other side of the polarization. In Europe, it's also the old-school Communists who still support Russia - I think mostly out of old loyalities, and for being the main anti-American power in the world. Like in Soviet times, they practise whataboutism and engage in relativism to the point of absurdity.

In practise, I don't think those Russians who engage in the trying to change public opinion, invent social or political conflict in either US or European countries. They simply try and work out how best to exploit pre-existing simmering conflicts.

I think there is too much focus on Trump in regards to Russia. He's alienating allies and causing the US to lose prestige internationally, but if Hillary had won, Russia'd found some way to exploit that, too. They've been doing this for many, many years before Trump. I think Russia tries to use Trump, for example when Putin keeps defending Trump and calling for the American press to respect their president... something he for some reason didn't call for under Obama, he's probably doing that... not to troll for lulz, but to manipulate with Trumps feelings, so he makes mistakes that weaken the US internationally. The Russian propaganda budget wouldn't be as massive as it was, if Putin did not consider it be working.

That they have been trying to polarize Western countries should be evident from the sort of programming you'd see on RT, or what sort of stories you'd read on Sputnik. Which are state funded. That much isn't opinion. The efficency, otoh, is harder to measure. If I should rate how efficent they've been in *creating* more conflict on a 1-to-10 scale, I'd say their rate of succes was a 2 for the US and 1 for Europe as a whole, yet a 3 for Eastern Europe (including Greece).
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Smitty-48
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by Smitty-48 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 5:45 pm

Assuming that this attack in the UK was the Russians, so far it's been pretty effective in exposing the isolation of the UK at the moment, if the Russians are sending a message, Theresa May should be getting it right about now; the Americans aren't going to do anything for you, and neither are the Europeans, nobody is going fuck with us, if/when we fuck with you; mwahaha, love & kisses, Moscow.

Was Skirpal even the intended objective, or was the objective simply to expose the weakness of any response from NATO to such brazen transgressions?
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by Smitty-48 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 5:58 pm

And if so, then May has really taken the bait by issuing this vacuous "ultimatum".

Like, what are you going to do, Theresa? Put an SSBN in the Barents with SLBM's in depressed trajectory first strike mode?

No? Yeah, didn't think so, so you can go fuck yourself, honey bunny, and now everybody knows it.
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by Smitty-48 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 6:09 pm

That being said, and as I said, I'm not going to assume it was Moscow per se, as again, the weapon was apparently a bit of a whiffle ball as far as nerve agents go, which, doesn't seem like that would be coming from the Russian arsenal, which is best in class.

If they wanted to send the message that it was them, seems more likely they would use VR, and anybody exposed to VR, would be dead by now.
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Viktorthepirate
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by Viktorthepirate » Tue Mar 13, 2018 6:11 pm

Smitty-48 wrote:That being said, and as I said, I'm not going to assume it was Moscow per se, as again, the weapon was apparently a bit of a whiffle ball as far as nerve agents go, which, doesn't seem like that would be coming from the Russian arsenal, which is best in class.
I read something (a couple days ago) that said the agent was only in Russian hands. Was that untrue?

Smitty-48
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by Smitty-48 » Tue Mar 13, 2018 6:14 pm

Viktorthepirate wrote:
Smitty-48 wrote:That being said, and as I said, I'm not going to assume it was Moscow per se, as again, the weapon was apparently a bit of a whiffle ball as far as nerve agents go, which, doesn't seem like that would be coming from the Russian arsenal, which is best in class.
I read something (a couple days ago) that said the agent was only in Russian hands. Was that untrue?
They wont say what the agent is, the British haven't released a report detailing the agent in question, but the target is not dead, and 21 other people were exposed to it, with minimal effects, which; that doesn't sound like VX/VR to me. See; Kim Jong Nam; dead as a door nail inside five minutes; that was VX, whatever this was, it's not presenting with the lethality of a Russian weaponized nerve agent at this juncture.
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Speaker to Animals
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by Speaker to Animals » Tue Mar 13, 2018 6:16 pm

Using nerve gas in the middle of England if off the hook crazy.

Just shoot him for fuck sake. Polonium tea isn't great, but it's at least not releasing a God damned nerve agent into the open of another country.

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Fife
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by Fife » Tue Mar 13, 2018 6:19 pm

It's so off the hook cray that it's fake news. Fake fake fake.

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Speaker to Animals
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Re: Russian trolls

Post by Speaker to Animals » Tue Mar 13, 2018 6:20 pm

Fife wrote:It's so off the hook cray that it's fake news. Fake fake fake.

Is it? I certainly hope so.